John D. Ciorciari



The Influence Gap: China's Structural Power Deficit in the Monetary Policy Arena (under review). Although China has accumulated vast reserves and occupies an increasingly central role in international trade, its influence over the monetary policies of its developing Asian neighbors remains quite limited. This paper traces a number of possible mechanisms for Chinese influence and explains why Beijing's monetary policy influence has lagged its waxing capabilities by a significant margin. A previous iteration of the paper is available here.

China and Cambodia: Patron and Client? Close Sino-Cambodian cooperation in recent years has prompted some critics to refer to Cambodia as a Chinese "client state." This paper analyzes the implicit bargain underlying that cooperation, focusing on the structure of the Cambodian political economy as a key enabling factor. The paper is prepared for a book organized by Donald Emmerson on China's relations with its Southeast Asian neighbors.

Nationalist Protests, Government Responses, and the Risk of Escalation in Interstate Disputes (with Jessica Chen Weiss, under review). This paper examines how governments of various regime types seek to manage nationalist protests and the factors that impel governments to permit or seek to repress demonstrations. It develops theoretical arguments and applies them to a series of contemporary cases in Southeast Asia.

China's Influence in East Asia: Relational and Structural Dimensions (with Evelyn Goh). Although claims about China's rising influence are ubiquitous in the IR literature, relatively few studies have begun to delve into the specific mechanisms whereby China can convert its growing power resources into usable tools of influence. This paper examines China's power in its structural and relational context to demonstrate a number of important constraints on its policy influence.



Official Records and the Right to the Truth: Archiving Atrocities in Transitional States. This paper explores a number of legal, political and ethical issues that arise in efforts to document past human rights abuses in transitional states. It examines the importance and difficulty of preserving accessible state archives to uphold the emerging norm of a "right to the truth" under international law and advances a concept of complementarity to guide international engagement in archival efforts. It draws from cases in Guatemala, Iraq, Cambodia, Paraguay, and elsewhere. For a previous draft published as a working paper, click here.

A Weak Link in the Human Rights Regime: The Importance of Third-Country Records in Upholding the Right to the Truth (with Jesse Franzblau). This paper examines the importance of the records of third countires in clarifying gross human rights violations and promoting accountablity in states emerging from periods of mass repression or conflict. It analyzes the state of relevant current law, discusses the formidable obstacles to regularizing third-country disclosure, and proposes ways to develop a stronger and more coherent normative framework going forward.
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