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Government 601: Methods of Political Analysis I

Fall 2004, Tueday 7:00-9:00p (WE 106)

Walter R. Mebane, Jr.
217 White Hall
office hours: T 4:30-5:30, W 2-4 or other times by appointment

Assignment Due Dates
due date description
October 26 ``explanations'' paper
November 16 research pre-proposal
December 14 research proposal

Reading Availability

We will be reading large proportions of most of the following books, and most are worth having on the shelf, so you may want to buy them. On the other hand, several are expensive. Most of the books should also soon appear on reserve in the Government Reading Room in Olin (room 405). Photocopies of other required reading should also be available in the Reading Room.

Browning, Christopher R. 2000. Nazi Policy, Jewish Workers, German Killers. New York: Cambridge UP.

Browning, Christopher R. 1998. Ordinary Men: Reserve Police Battalion 101 and the Final Solution in Poland. New York: HarperCollins.

Campbell, Donald T., and Julian C. Stanley. 1966. Experimental and Quasi-experimental Designs for Research. Chicago: Rand McNally.

Goldhagen, Daniel Jonah. 1996. Hitler's Willing Executioners: Ordinary Germans and the Holocaust. New York: Knopf.

Hedström, Peter, and Richard Swedborg, eds. 1998. Social Mechanisms: An Analytical Approach to Social Theory. New York: Cambridge UP.

King, Gary, Robert O. Keohane and Sidney Verba. 1994. Designing Social Inquiry: Scientific Inference in Qualitative Research. Princeton: Princeton UP.

Miller, Richard W. 1987. Fact and Method: Explanation, Confirmation and Reality in the Natural and the Social Sciences. Princeton: Princeton UP.

Monroe, Kristen Renwick, ed. 1997. Contemporary Empirical Political Theory. Berkeley: U of California.

Reading schedule

Items with a bullet ($\bullet$) are required. Others are supplementary.

  1. Goals of Political Science Research (Sept 7)

    Almond, Gabriel A. 1990. A Discipline Divided: Schools and Sects in Political Science. Newbury Park, CA: Sage.

    Greenstein, Fred I., and Nelson W. Polsby. 1975. Handbook of Political Science, Volume 1: Political Science: Scope and Theory. Reading: Addison-Wesley.

    Ricci, David M. 1984. The Tragedy of Political Science: Politics, Scholarship and Democracy. New Haven: Yale UP.

    Shively, W. Phillips. 1974. The Craft of Political Research. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice-Hall.

  2. Interpretations (Sept 14)

    Elster, Jon. 1993. Political Psychology. New York: Cambridge UP.

    Stinchcombe, Arthur. 1978. Theoretical Methods in Social History. New York: Academic.

  3. Explanation, Mechanisms, Models, Theory (Sep 21)

    Barry, Brian. 1978. Sociologists, Economists and Democracy. Chicago: U of Chicago.

    Schelling, Thomas. 1986. Micromotives and Macrobehavior. New York: Norton.

  4. Individualism and Rationality (Sept 28)

    Elster, Jon. 1984. Ulysses and the Sirens: Studies in Rationality and Irrationality. Rev. ed. Cambridge: Cambridge UP.

    Elster, Jon. 1983. Sour Grapes: Studies in the Subversion of Rationality. Cambridge: Cambridge UP.

    Sen, Amartya. 1999. Development as Freedom. New York: Knopf.

    Morrow, James D. 1994. Game Theory for Political Scientists. Princeton: Princeton UP.

    Ordeshook, Peter C. 1986. Game Theory and Political Theory. New York: Cambridge UP.

    Gibbons, Robert. Game Theory for Applied Economists. Cambridge: MIT Press.

    Luce, R. Duncan, and Howard Raiffa. 1989. Games and Decisions: Introduction and Critical Survey. New York: Dover Publications. Republication of Wiley, New York, 1957.

    Schelling, Thomas C. 1960. The Strategy of Conflict. Cambridge: Harvard UP.

  5. Causal Confirmation (Oct 5)

    Bates, Robert H., Avner Greif, Margaret Levi, Jean-Laurent Rosenthal, and Barry R. Weingast. 1998. Analytic Narratives. Princeton: Princeton UP.

    Green, Donald P., and Ian Shapiro. 1994. Pathologies of Rational Choice Theory: A Critique of Applications in Political Science. New Haven: Yale UP.

    Krüger, Lorenz, et al., eds. 1987. The Probabilistic Revolution. Cambridge: MIT.

    Kuhn, Thomas S. 1970. The Structure of Scientific Revolutions. 2d ed. Chicago: U of Chicago.

    Lakatos, Imre, and Alan Musgrave, eds. 1970. Criticism and the Growth of Knowledge. Cambridge: Cambridge UP.

    Suppe, Frederick, ed. 1977. The Structure of Scientific Theories. 2d ed. Urbana: U of Illinois.

  6. Trying to Demonstrate Intentions (Oct 19)

    Ioanid, Radu. 2000. The Holocaust in Romania: The Destruction of Jews and Gypsies Under the Antonescu Regime, 1940-1944. Chicago: Ivan R. Dee.

    Lindemann, Albert S. 1997. Esau's Tears: Modern Anti-Semitism and the Rise of the Jews. New York: Cambridge University Press.

    Weiss, John. 1996. Ideology of Death: Why the Holocaust Happened in Germany. Chicago: I. R. Dee.

  7. Basic Statistics (Oct 26)

    Tukey, John W. 1977. Exploratory Data Analysis. Reading: Addison-Wesley.

    Gill, Jeff. Bayesian Methods: A Social and Behavioral Sciences Approach. Boca Raton, FL: Chapman and Hall/CRC.

  8. Testing Explanations: Conditional Expectation and Experiments (Nov 2)

    Cook, Thomas D., and Donald T. Campbell. 1979. Quasi-experimentation: Design and Analysis Issues for Field Settings. Chicago: Rand McNally College Pub. Co.

    Shadish, William R., Thomas D. Cook and Donald T. Campbell. 2002. Experimental and Quasi-experimental Designs for Generalized Causal Inference. Boston: Houghton Mifflin.

    Kinder, Donald R. and Thomas R. Palfrey, eds. 1993. Experimental Foundations of Political Science. Ann Arbor: U of Michigan.

  9. Manipulation, Counterfactuals and Observational Studies (Nov 9)

    Brady, Henry, ``Models of Causal Inference: Going Beyond the Neyman-Rubin-Holland Theory.'' Available from

    Dempster, Arthur P. 1988. ``Employment Discrimination and Statistical Science.'' Statistical Science, 3 (May): 149-161.

    Rosenbaum, Paul R., and Donald B. Rubin. 1983. ``The Central Role of the Propensity Score in Observational Studies for Causal Effects.'' Biometrika 70 (Apr.): 41-55.

    Rosenbaum, Paul R., and Donald B. Rubin. 1985. ``Constructing a Control Group Using Multivariate Matched Sampling Methods That Incorporate the Propensity Score.'' The American Statistician 39 (Feb.): 33-38.

    Rosenbaum, Paul R. 2002. Observational Studies. 2d ed. New York: Springer

  10. Selection Biases (Nov 16)

    David Collier and James Mahoney, ``Insights and Pitfalls: Selection Bias in Qualitative Research,'' World Politics, 49, 1 (October 1996), 56-91.

    Przeworski, Adam, and Henry Teune. 1970. The Logic of Comparative Social Inquiry. New York: Wiley. Chapters 1-3.

  11. Processes and Selection (Nov 23)

    Salmon, Wesley C. 1998. Causality and Explanation. Oxford UP. Chapter 16.

  12. Generalities (Nov 30)

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Walter Mebane 2004-08-27