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VCF9029 R Prediction: Will Presidential Election Be Close in State

QUESTION:
---------
How about here in [R's state].  Which candidate for President do you
think will carry this state?  (1988,1984, IF NECESSARY: Which
candidate will win in this state?)
Do you think (1972: it) (1988,1996,2004: the Presidential race) will 
be close here in [R's state] or will [name given] win by quite a bit?
1980,1984,1988,1992 ONLY: (IF DK) Do you think the Presidential race
will be close here in [R's state] or will one candidate win by quite a
bit?

VALID_CODES:
------------
1.   Close race
3.   Win by quite a bit
8.   DK; depends

MISSING_CODES:
--------------
9.   NA; NA who R thinks will carry R's state (9 in
     VCF9028) (all years); DK who will win in R's state
     (8 in VCF9028)(1972,1976 only)
Inap. question not used

NOTES:
------
1952 NOTE:
The 1952 version of this question was not comparable.
1972 NOTE:
If R replied DK to 'Which candidate do you think will carry this 
state?' (VCF9028) then this question was not asked.
1976 NOTE:
same as 1972.
2004 NOTE:
A programming error early in the field period resulted in
52 respondents who replied DK to VCF9028 not being asked
VCF9029; these 52 cases are coded "99. NA" in 2004 data 
file and "9. NA" here.

WEIGHT:
-------
VCF0009/VCF0009a

TYPE:
-----
Numeric  Dec 0

SOURCE_VARS:
------------
1972:  720028 
1976:  763029  
1980:  800058 
1984:  840079 
1988:  880101 
1992:  923105
1996:  960384
2004:  043096


Walter Mebane 2005-11-03