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QUESTION:
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(IF R PREDICTS A WINNER IN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION:) Do you think it [the
presidential race] will be a close race or will [R's predicted winning
candidate] win by quite a bit?
1980 AND LATER: (IF R REPLIES "DK" WHO WILL WIN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION:)
Do you think the presidential race will be close or will one candidate
win by quite a bit?
VALID_CODES:
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1. Will win by quite a bit
2. Close race
9. DK; pro-con; depends; etc.
MISSING_CODES:
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0. NA; no Pre IW; R replies DK who will win
(1952-1976); R's prediction NA
Inap. question not used
NOTES:
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1956 NOTE:
Cases "closer than last time," "same as last time" or "not so close as
last time" are coded 0.
1964 NOTE:
If R predicted a winner who was not from the major parties, this
question was not asked.
WEIGHT:
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VCF0009/VCF0009a
TYPE:
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Numeric Dec 0
SOURCE_VARS:
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1952: 520014
1956: 560013
1960: 600018
1964: 640019
1968: 680026
1972: 720026
1976: 763027
1980: 800055
1984: 840077
1988: 880099
1992: 923103
1996: 960382
2000: 000486,000487
2004: 043094
Walter Mebane
2005-11-03