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VCF0714 R Prediction: Will the Presidential Election Be Close

QUESTION:
---------
(IF R PREDICTS A WINNER IN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION:) Do you think it [the
presidential race] will be a close race or will [R's predicted winning
candidate] win by quite a bit?
1980 AND LATER: (IF R REPLIES "DK" WHO WILL WIN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION:)
Do you think the presidential race will be close or will one candidate
win by quite a bit?

VALID_CODES:
------------
1.  Will win by quite a bit
2.  Close race
9.  DK; pro-con; depends; etc.

MISSING_CODES:
--------------
0.  NA; no Pre IW; R replies DK who will win
    (1952-1976); R's prediction NA
Inap. question not used

NOTES:
------
1956 NOTE:
Cases "closer than last time," "same as last time" or "not so close as 
last time" are coded 0.
1964 NOTE:
If R predicted a winner who was not from the major parties, this 
question was not asked.

WEIGHT:
-------
VCF0009/VCF0009a

TYPE:
-----
Numeric  Dec 0

SOURCE_VARS:
------------
1952:  520014  
1956:  560013  
1960:  600018  
1964:  640019
1968:  680026  
1972:  720026
1976:  763027  
1980:  800055  
1984:  840077  
1988:  880099
1992:  923103  
1996:  960382
2000:  000486,000487
2004:  043094


Walter Mebane 2005-11-03