VAR CF0714 WILL PRESIDENTIAL RACE BE CLOSE
COLUMNS 482 - 482
NUMERIC
MD EQ 0
(IF R PREDICTS A WINNER IN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION:) Do you think it [the
presidential race] will be a close race or will <R's predicted winning
candidate> win by quite a bit?
1980 and later: (IF R REPLIES "DK" WHO WILL WIN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION:)
Do you think the presidential race will be close or will one candidate
win by quite a bit?
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USE WEIGHT VARIABLE VCF0009/VCF0009A/VCF0009B.
1956 cases originally coded as "closer than last time," "same as last
time" or "not so close as last time" (100 cases) have been recoded as
0 in VCF0714.
In 1964 only, if R predicted a winner who was not from the major
parties, then this question was not asked.
1. Will win by quite a bit
2. Close race
9. DK; pro-Con; depends; etc.
0. NA; INAP, no pre IW (1952,1960); R replies DK who will win
(1952-1976); R's prediction NA; question not used
1952: 14 1956: 13 1960: 18
1964: 19 1968: 26 1972: 26
1976: 3027 1980: 55 1984: 77
1988: 99 1992: 3103 1996: 960382
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