UM Logo Matthew D. Shapiro
Lawrence R. Klein Collegiate Professor of Economics
Department of Economics
University of Michigan
Ann Arbor MI 48109-1220
tel    734 764-5419
Fax  734 764-2769
shapiro @ umich.edu

Research on economic stimulus

BUSINESS TAX INCENTIVES AND INVESTMENT

Investment Incentives: Production versus Purchases

"Stimulus Effects of Investment Tax Incentives: Production versus Purchases." by Christopher L. House, Ana-Maria Mocanu, and Matthew D. Shapiro.  April 2017. pdf appendix

Investment Incentives: Bonus Depreciation

"Temporary Investment Tax Incentives: Theory with Evidence from Bonus Depreciation" by Christopher L. House and Matthew D. Shapiro. American Economic Review 98:3 (June 2008) 737-768.   PDF file | Summary from NBER Digest.

"Investment Incentives and Economic Stimulus: Lessons from 'Bonus Depreciation'" by Christopher L. House and Matthew D. Shapiro (January 2008).  pdf

HOUSEHOLD TAX STIMULUS, REBATES

Payroll Tax Cut of 2011/2012 and Its Expiration

"Balance-Sheet Households and Fiscal Stimulus: Lessons from the Payroll Tax Cut and Its Expiration" by Claudia R. Sahm, Matthew D. Shapiro, and Joel Slemrod.  revised August 2016.  pdf.

Changes in Withholding versus Income Tax Rebates:  2008 Making Work Pay Credit versus 2008 Economic Stimulus Payments

"Check in the Mail or More in the Paycheck:  Does the Effectiveness of Fiscal Stimulus Depend on How It Is Delivered?" by Claudia R. Sahm, Matthew D. Shapiro, and Joel Slemrod, June 2011.  American Economic Journal:  Economic Policy 4 (2012) 216–250.  http://dx.doi.org/10.1257/pol.4.3.216. PDF file  Data

Income Tax Rebates:  2008 Economic Stimulus Payments

"Did the 2008 Tax Rebates Stimulate Spending?" by Matthew D. Shapiro and Joel Slemrod.  American Economic Review Proceedings 99 (May 2009) 374-379. PDF file | Survey Instrument | Summary from NBER Digest

"Household Response to the 2008 Tax Rebates: Survey Evidence and Aggregate Implications" by Claudia R. Sahm, Matthew D. Shapiro, and Joel Slemrod.  Prepared for the NBER Conference on Tax Policy and the Economy Washington DC September 2009.  Revised October 2009.  PDF file | Survey Instrument

Income Tax Rebates:  2001 Advanced Payments

"Consumer Response to Tax Rebates" by Matthew D. Shapiro and Joel Slemrod.  American Economic Review 93 (March 2003) 381-396  PDF file | Executive Summary | Survey Instrument.  Working paper version with regression analysis  Working Paper

"Did The 2001 Tax Rebate Stimulate Spending? Evidence From Taxpayer Surveys"  by Matthew D. Shapiro and Joel Slemrod.  Tax Policy and the Economy, ed James Poterba.  Cambridge:  MIT Press, 2003.    Revised October 2002 PDF file

OVERVIEW

"Bush Stimulus May Have Only Modest Effect" by Christopher :L. House, Matthew D. Shapiro, and Joel Slemrod, Wall Street Journal Online (Jan. 10, 2008)

"Economists:  Most Stimulus Went Into Savings" by Matthew D. Shapiro and Joel Slemrod, Wall Street Journal Online (Aug. 8, 2008)

Information

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