472NOT04.txt				September 8, 1996

  George & Smoke: Third Wave Deterrence

First Wave Deterrence Theory: Assumed That Capabilities Were The Key To
Achieve Compliance. Second Waver Schelling Added Resolve To Capability;
Third Wavers Added Controllability And Calculability Of Risk.

In Addition To Control And Calculation Of Risk, Here Are Some Other Issues
To Help Organize Your Reading Of George And Smoke:

In Summer 1870, When Austria Decided Against Mobilization, What Was The
Rationale For Purchasing Horses And Accelerating Railroad Construction?  

After It Was Possible To Threaten Vast Damage While Leaving Opposing
Military Forces Intact, What Effect Did This Have On The Development Of
Deterrence Theory?

What Is The Doctrine Of Containment And How Does It Relate To Deterrence?

Distinguish Deterrence By Threat From Deterrence By Denial. 

How Do First-Strike And Second-Strike Weapons Systems Contrast?

Compare Massive Retaliation With Flexible Response.

Discuss Three Deterrence Levels: Strategic War, Conventional Limited War,
Crisis Diplomacy/Guerrilla War. 

What Is Initiation Theory?

How Does Availability Of Multiple Options Affect Deterrence?

What Are Major Conditions Affecting Deterrence Outcomes?

What Are Minor Conditions Affecting Deterrence Outcomes?

What Are Patterns Of Deterrence Failure?

What Are Examples Of Nondeterrable Cases?

What Is Commitment Theory?