The U.S. and the War In Iraq:

    An Analysis

 

 

    

                                                                                                (picture courtesy of CNN.com)

 

 

 

“The gravest danger to freedom lies at the crossroads of radicalism and technology. When the spread of chemical and biological and nuclear weapons, along with ballistic missile technology—when that occurs, even weak states and small groups could attain a catastrophic power to strike great nations. Our enemies have declared this very intention, and have been caught seeking these terrible weapons. They want the capability to blackmail us, or to harm us, or to harm our friends—and we will oppose them with all our power.”

President Bush
West Point,
New York
June 1, 200

Political Science 498: Terrorism and Proliferation

University of Michigan, Fall 2003

Professor: Raymond Tanter

Group Members: Mariska Bardos, Nathan Furman, Matthew Hernandez, Brad Sugar

 

I. Group Puzzle and Question

II. Introduction and Assumptions

III. Intro to Rational Choice Theory

IV. The Bush administration: A psychological analysis

V: Assessing the Iraqi threat: Bayesian revision of prior probabilities

VI: Commitment Problems? Bush and Reasons to overestimate the war

VII: Reasons For War

VIII: Iraq: Was It Worth It?

IX: Conclusion

X: Works Cited

 

Matt Hernandez, Nate Furman, Brad Sugar and Mariska Bardos...another long night in the computer lab...Hey, who's that guy in the background!!?