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The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated  Stanford   page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2009.

Stanford

Conference:P10
Expected RPI:102.0
Current RPI:102
Expected SOS:107
Current SOS:107
Current Record:18-13
Expected Record:18-13
Current Conf Record:7-13
Expected Conf Record:7-13
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:0-3
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:4-3
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-3
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:7-0
Current OOC Record:11-0
Expected OOC Record:11-0
Expected OOC RPI:61
Expected OOC SOS:332


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
18-13102.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Stanford.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-14Yale (229.0)IvyA75-67W100%0.0
11-18Cal St. Northridge (149.0)BWH103-85W100%0.0
11-26Air Force (271.0)MWCH76-57W100%0.0
11-29Colorado (232.0)B12H76-62W100%0.0
12-14Colorado St. (211.0)MWCA74-63W100%0.0
12-17Northern Arizona (291.0)BSkyH66-57W100%0.0
12-20Northwestern (72.0)B10H65-59W100%0.0
12-23Santa Clara (198.0)WCCA77-69W100%0.0
12-28Texas Tech (120.0)B12H111-66W100%0.0
12-30Hartford (298.0)AEH69-55W100%0.0
1-2Arizona St. (30.0)P10H60-90L0%0.0
1-4Arizona (59.0)P10H76-60W100%0.0
1-8Washington (11.0)P10A83-84L0%0.0
1-10Washington St. (88.0)P10A54-55L0%0.0
1-17California (41.0)P10H75-69W100%0.0
1-22Oregon (176.0)P10H77-55W100%0.0
1-24Oregon St. (157.0)P10H62-77L0%0.0
1-29Southern California (52.0)P10A69-70L0%0.0
1-31UCLA (27.0)P10A63-97L0%0.0
2-5Washington St. (88.0)P10H65-54W100%0.0
2-8Washington (11.0)P10H68-75L0%0.0
2-10Cal St. Bakersfield (305.0)indH85-50W100%0.0
2-14California (41.0)P10A75-82L0%0.0
2-19Oregon St. (157.0)P10A54-66L0%0.0
2-21Oregon (176.0)P10A60-68L0%0.0
2-26UCLA (27.0)P10H71-76L0%0.0
2-28Southern California (52.0)P10H75-63W100%0.0
3-5Arizona St. (30.0)P10A74-64W100%0.0
3-7Arizona (59.0)P10A87-101L0%0.0
3-11Oregon St. (157.0)P10N62-54W100%0.0
3-12Washington (11.0)P10N73-85L0%0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations