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The results on this page EXCLUDE CONFERNCE TOURNAMENT FORECASTS and are UPDATED DAILY

New! For the weekly updated  Baylor   page with conference tournament forecasts, click here.

Through games of Mar 12, 2009.

Baylor

Conference:B12
Expected RPI:60.0
Current RPI:60
Expected SOS:15
Current SOS:15
Current Record:18-13
Expected Record:18-13
Current Conf Record:7-11
Expected Conf Record:7-11
Expected Record vs RPI 1-25:2-6
Expected Record vs RPI 26-50:2-4
Expected Record vs RPI 51-100:4-1
Expected Record vs RPI 101-200:5-2
Expected Record vs RPI 200+:5-0
Current OOC Record:11-2
Expected OOC Record:11-2
Expected OOC RPI:35
Expected OOC SOS:96


RPI FORECAST by FINAL RECORD

Here is the RPI forecast broken down by final record along with the probability of the final record:

Final RecordExpected RPIProbability
18-1360.0100.00%

Schedule, Results and Probabilities

Here are the schedule and probabilities of winning for Baylor.
These are the probabilities that are used in the simulations.
They are based entirely on Jeff Sagarin's PREDICTOR.
The projected records are calculated by combining these probabilities and may be different than summing up the projections for each individual game.

DateOpponent (Expected RPI)ConfLocScoreOutcomeProb(W)Spread
11-18Centenary (292.0)SumH90-55W100%0.0
11-22Southern (335.0)SWACH85-43W100%0.0
11-24Jacksonville (141.0)ASunH76-68W100%0.0
11-27Providence (70.0)BEN72-56W100%0.0
11-28Arizona St. (30.0)P10N87-78W100%0.0
11-30Wake Forest (10.0)ACCN74-87L0%0.0
12-6Washington St. (88.0)P10A58-52W100%0.0
12-13Prairie View A&M (266.0)SWACH90-63W100%0.0
12-20Texas Arlington (185.0)SlndH79-76W100%0.0
12-22Hartford (298.0)AEH74-59W100%0.0
12-29Portland St. (114.0)BSkyH79-66W100%0.0
12-31Jackson St. (182.0)SWACH113-78W100%0.0
1-2South Carolina (49.0)SECH84-85L0%0.0
1-10Texas Tech (120.0)B12H73-61W100%0.0
1-14Texas A&M (34.0)B12A73-84L0%0.0
1-17Oklahoma St. (18.0)B12H98-92W100%0.0
1-21Kansas St. (79.0)B12A83-65W100%0.0
1-24Oklahoma (5.0)B12A76-95L0%0.0
1-27Texas (33.0)B12H72-78L0%0.0
1-31Missouri (15.0)B12A72-89L0%0.0
2-2Kansas (9.0)B12H65-75L0%0.0
2-7Texas Tech (120.0)B12A76-83L0%0.0
2-11Oklahoma (5.0)B12H63-78L0%0.0
2-14Texas A&M (34.0)B12H72-68W100%0.0
2-21Oklahoma St. (18.0)B12A74-84L0%0.0
2-24Iowa St. (164.0)B12A62-71L0%0.0
2-28Colorado (232.0)B12H75-57W100%0.0
3-2Texas (33.0)B12A57-73L0%0.0
3-7Nebraska (74.0)B12H62-66L0%0.0
3-11Nebraska (74.0)B12N65-49W100%0.0
3-12Kansas (9.0)B12N71-64W100%0.0

Here is a graph of the history of the RPI Forecast plotted against the history of the day-to-day RPI and the 95% confidence interval*:

*Please see the faq for a discussion on the 95% confidence interval.
Here is a histogram of all of the RPI forecasts over all 10,000 simulations