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Below are projections for the end-of-season RPIs for all D1 basketball teams.

How does the RPI Forecast work?

Some numbers (e.g., 1-50 W-L, 51-100 W-L, etc.) are rounded and may not sum up to totals.

EXPECTED RPI RANK is the best estimate for an individual team of its end-of-season RPI Rank. Because they are expectations, they do not have to be 1, 2, 3, etc.
OVERALL is the one most likely overall outcome for all Division 1 teams if I am forced to rank teams 1, 2, 3, etc. It corresponds to the RPI Forecast number column and may not be the same as ranking the Expected RPI Rank column.

NEW! Click on a team's name to see the RPI Forecast broken down by different end of season records plus Schedules, Results and Probabilities of Winning

(Help keep the site up and running - donate via paypal to rpiforecast@gmail.com)

Through games of Mar 9, 2009.


ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
11.3PittsburghBE0.67650.5933727-328-47-33-07-19-03-012-01810.30.6
32.6North CarolinaACC0.66120.58141726-328-46-11-010-29-03-013-06663-0.4-0.4
23.0DukeACC0.66130.6062325-627-75-42-110-17-03-014-133121.00.8
44.7ConnecticutBE0.65240.57642227-328-45-34-08-18-04-012-056040.70.4
55.5OklahomaB120.65190.57602327-428-53-38-18-03-17-014-1105350.50.3
65.8Michigan St.B100.64980.5946625-527-63-29-14-36-04-010-211106-0.2-0.1
87.3MemphisCUSA0.64070.55595428-331-31-24-19-110-06-012-320258-0.7-0.4
77.4KansasB120.64360.58451325-627-75-34-06-16-25-011-4393070.40.2
98.8LouisvilleBE0.63710.58231525-527-65-24-27-29-03-09-347199-0.2-0.1
1212.0MissouriB120.62690.56474124-626-73-33-15-27-07-012-23173120.00.0
1012.4Wake ForestACC0.62890.55595324-525-66-21-07-25-26-013-029243102.40.9
1113.5UtahMWC0.62750.58181621-823-91-34-45-28-15-09-4145112.50.8
1413.6XavierA100.62370.55984824-626-72-24-16-18-26-112-24314-0.4-0.1
1314.0WashingtonP100.62510.57942023-724-81-24-36-211-13-09-33823131.00.3
1515.6VillanovaBE0.62340.56713825-626-73-33-36-17-06-012-127131150.60.2
1816.8ButlerHorz0.61710.529010025-426-41-01-111-14-19-19-121818-1.2-0.3
1618.2Florida St.ACC0.62050.58041923-823-92-63-07-36-06-013-22364162.20.7
1719.1SyracuseBE0.61750.58531222-823-93-62-04-311-04-011-1912172.10.5
1919.5ClemsonACC0.61700.57023423-725-83-62-05-110-15-014-0768190.50.1
2120.5SienaMAAC0.61380.54886426-726-70-31-26-111-28-07-535221-0.5-0.3
2221.8Brigham YoungMWC0.61210.55196023-625-72-24-23-29-07-011-2265522-0.2-0.0
2021.9IllinoisB100.61400.57552623-824-92-37-33-25-07-012-11865201.90.4
2322.5TennesseeSEC0.61060.6099219-1120-121-23-47-48-12-09-524123-0.5-0.1
2525.6West VirginiaBE0.60660.58271421-1022-112-71-17-38-04-011-21537250.60.1
2726.7Utah St.WAC0.60550.509313526-428-51-10-13-212-112-012-24317227-0.3-0.1
3027.1UCLAP100.60380.55066124-726-81-23-47-211-04-011-25216530-2.9-0.5
2427.1Oklahoma St.B120.60750.5914920-1021-112-72-35-17-06-011-31921243.10.6
2827.7GonzagaWCC0.60480.53319225-525-52-34-02-18-19-09-5552928-0.3-0.2
2628.2DaytonA100.60630.53109425-626-71-12-16-110-37-114-116119262.20.5
3330.4PurdueB100.59880.56943522-924-102-55-25-22-010-011-26114833-2.6-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
3131.4MarquetteBE0.60120.55984923-824-92-63-26-06-18-011-244108310.40.1
3231.5Arizona St.P100.59890.55845222-823-92-24-16-47-15-011-12110032-0.5-0.1
2931.8Texas A&MB120.60400.56344322-823-92-43-24-38-07-013-122113292.80.6
3435.5CaliforniaP100.59820.56134422-923-103-32-27-25-36-011-22877341.50.3
3736.4Louisiana St.SEC0.59510.53369125-626-71-21-19-38-18-012-39221137-0.6-0.1
3537.3TexasB120.59670.57522820-1022-113-53-23-35-17-011-34988352.30.4
3637.4Ohio St.B100.59600.57243120-921-101-54-45-14-06-010-13082361.40.2
3837.6WisconsinB100.59270.58641118-1119-121-43-66-15-14-08-3372438-0.4-0.1
4038.1CreightonMVC0.59120.525210826-726-70-02-27-37-210-011-23313040-1.9-1.1
3938.6TempleA100.59170.55945019-1120-121-51-14-39-36-08-6412239-0.4-0.1
4441.0San Diego St.MWC0.58680.54766819-820-91-31-33-28-17-08-3658444-3.0-0.6
4341.8UABCUSA0.58700.54617221-1022-110-50-12-412-08-010-5464143-1.2-0.2
4141.9MinnesotaB100.59100.56584020-921-102-43-44-35-07-011-013139410.90.2
4245.9MichiganB100.58870.59051018-1219-133-54-54-23-16-09-33435423.90.6
4547.0Western KentuckySB0.58120.510413422-823-81-10-02-310-39-25-59980452.00.4
4847.6Illinois St.MVC0.58060.525910624-924-90-02-25-511-16-211-12516748-0.4-0.2
4748.2GeorgetownBE0.58070.6036416-1318-144-61-33-37-23-09-284471.20.1
4648.5St. Mary'sWCC0.58100.504514523-623-61-01-31-111-29-012-11793462.51.2
5049.4Virginia CommonwealthCAA0.57970.521111324-924-90-11-03-410-111-37-5714850-0.6-0.3
4949.6FloridaSEC0.58060.53648622-924-101-41-28-35-19-013-257207490.60.1
5250.9NiagaraMAAC0.57890.505214326-826-81-31-03-010-311-210-35816052-1.1-0.6
5151.8South CarolinaSEC0.57950.53219321-822-90-21-27-36-18-011-274261510.80.1
5553.7George MasonCAA0.57690.520511522-1022-100-00-32-210-310-27-4454355-1.3-0.7
5854.1New MexicoMWC0.57350.53998021-1022-112-21-32-212-35-09-614014658-3.9-0.5
5455.3Miami FLACC0.57710.57552717-1118-122-70-15-35-25-010-263175541.30.2
5356.2ArizonaP100.57760.57123219-1219-133-23-73-36-14-010-34044533.20.5
5956.9TulsaCUSA0.57350.52989721-922-100-52-23-09-39-19-59112359-2.1-0.3
5657.5Nevada Las VegasMWC0.57520.53688421-922-104-22-44-25-38-012-253133561.50.2
6058.1Northern IowaMVC0.57260.53708322-1022-100-14-26-04-68-15-61748660-1.9-1.1
6258.2Rhode IslandA100.57100.515512322-923-100-43-24-15-311-011-45111562-3.8-0.5
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
6159.7Southern CaliforniaP100.57220.57243018-1219-130-53-44-19-33-09-3504261-1.3-0.2
6660.5Cleveland St.Horz0.56740.517012121-1021-111-40-13-36-211-16-4626966-5.5-1.6
5762.1Boston CollegeACC0.57400.55235921-1022-113-41-14-39-25-112-372183575.10.9
6563.5AuburnSEC0.56840.54637120-1021-111-21-34-57-18-010-411017465-1.5-0.2
6366.2Virginia TechACC0.56940.57582417-1317-142-70-14-36-35-010-469117633.20.6
6766.5MarylandACC0.56700.57572518-1219-132-71-25-34-27-011-3648567-0.5-0.1
6968.0DavidsonSC0.56300.494416525-725-70-31-10-010-314-06-4663269-1.0-0.6
6469.0Penn St.B100.56900.53918221-1022-113-23-71-14-111-011-296286645.00.9
7070.7NorthwesternB100.56160.56124617-1218-133-44-60-23-28-09-248161700.70.1
6871.8NebraskaB120.56330.55505518-1119-121-52-22-26-37-010-368156683.80.5
7373.1Wisconsin Green BayHorz0.55960.498715721-921-91-20-12-39-19-28-382235730.10.1
7173.2ProvidenceBE0.56150.56124518-1219-132-50-33-57-06-08-4117126712.20.3
8073.8KentuckySEC0.55430.54966319-1221-132-22-35-63-29-011-48715580-6.2-0.7
7574.7BaylorB120.55800.57872116-1317-141-62-43-25-25-011-2365775-0.3-0.0
7274.8Notre DameBE0.56000.56743716-1317-141-92-32-16-17-08-383190722.80.4
7675.1Kansas St.B120.55730.52969820-1021-111-52-12-36-29-011-311829576-0.9-0.1
7875.2Miami OHMAC0.55460.523511117-1218-130-31-22-27-48-17-6422778-2.8-0.4
7476.0CincinnatiBE0.55920.57113317-1318-141-93-15-34-27-09-35651742.00.3
7776.4AmericanPat0.55550.467724023-724-70-10-00-38-216-18-610820477-0.6-0.1
7976.9Texas El PasoCUSA0.55440.53399019-1120-120-32-32-49-37-09-5757279-2.1-0.3
8279.7Mississippi St.SEC0.55260.55056218-1219-130-12-36-58-44-19-513514482-2.3-0.3
8181.2MississippiSEC0.55400.57462916-1416-151-31-43-69-33-09-57036810.20.0
8381.7NevadaWAC0.55100.53428918-1120-121-22-21-111-66-17-61257483-1.3-0.2
8487.3Stephen F. AustinSlnd0.54810.467524117-719-80-00-11-07-411-24-486111843.30.3
8587.8VanderbiltSEC0.54620.528910119-1120-120-22-24-49-35-011-3122276852.80.4
8989.7BinghamtonAE0.54280.469423721-822-80-00-02-08-411-46-5170289890.70.1
9090.0Wright St.Horz0.54150.516912220-1320-130-40-13-46-311-16-614397900.00.0
8690.3Washington St.P100.54500.56004716-1417-151-43-52-47-25-08-4103127864.30.5
8790.3DuquesneA100.54480.520211618-1119-121-30-31-18-49-09-493189873.30.4
8890.4Weber St.BSky0.54310.479120920-821-80-20-10-29-213-15-715291882.40.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
9191.8EvansvilleMVC0.54050.55405715-1315-130-21-53-35-26-17-2126910.80.3
9392.6Arkansas Little RockSB0.54030.476321823-823-80-11-10-26-216-27-416328593-0.4-0.2
9292.8North Dakota St.Sum0.54040.444830323-624-60-00-10-25-219-15-4131225920.80.1
9693.2HoustonCUSA0.53930.501315319-1020-110-22-12-48-39-19-413726896-2.8-0.2
9493.3NortheasternCAA0.54020.515212418-1218-120-11-13-25-59-36-5737094-0.7-0.3
9595.1FairfieldMAAC0.53950.53658517-1517-150-60-11-28-48-27-55420950.10.0
10096.3BuffaloMAC0.53830.496416219-1020-110-21-12-36-411-18-595143100-3.7-0.5
9896.5BradleyMVC0.53870.53039617-1417-140-21-31-58-37-16-510610798-1.5-0.7
9797.0VermontAE0.53900.471522923-823-80-10-01-48-314-010-413829397-0.0-0.0
101101.4Boise St.WAC0.53650.503914618-1119-120-21-10-29-49-29-41052441010.40.0
105102.6HofstraCAA0.53450.490517420-1120-110-10-22-36-412-28-388236105-2.4-1.2
106103.3La SalleA100.53420.525010918-1219-130-51-20-29-49-09-5114103108-4.7-0.6
99103.9Seton HallBE0.53840.55495615-1416-150-81-23-25-27-18-390178994.90.6
107104.0College of CharlestonSC0.53410.460625725-825-80-10-13-16-416-17-276217106-2.0-0.9
108104.0Old DominionCAA0.53410.485818921-1021-100-01-33-35-312-28-3157316107-3.0-1.4
103104.5StanfordP100.53480.525410717-1218-130-42-34-36-36-011-0603171031.50.1
102105.1Saint Joseph'sA100.53620.53958116-1417-150-40-52-16-69-07-7102491023.10.4
104105.5North Carolina St.ACC0.53480.54796716-1317-141-60-23-64-09-010-31452981041.50.2
110108.7VirginiaACC0.53280.6136110-1710-181-90-22-64-23-06-510917110-1.3-0.2
109109.7WyomingMWC0.53340.518212016-1216-130-51-42-32-211-09-3802751090.70.1
111110.8CornellIvy0.52950.454528319-919-90-20-10-03-216-48-6136251111-0.2-0.1
114112.8Robert MorrisNEC0.52640.459226523-1024-100-20-00-25-219-46-7197259114-1.2-0.2
115113.6Mount St. Mary'sNEC0.52520.480720519-1219-130-00-11-44-514-35-6120125115-1.4-0.3
113114.6IowaB100.52850.55945115-1616-170-42-85-33-16-110-3591381131.60.2
112114.7AlabamaSEC0.52880.54706915-1316-141-11-34-75-35-08-41642131122.70.3
116115.8East Tennessee St.ASun0.52450.463925021-1021-100-00-10-18-413-44-4151185116-0.2-0.1
121118.1Portland St.BSky0.52180.456527418-919-100-11-01-34-214-37-485197121-2.9-0.3
119118.9AkronMAC0.52300.486518718-1220-130-11-23-34-513-28-6119194119-0.1-0.0
118118.9PortlandWCC0.52310.487818118-1218-121-11-51-03-412-28-61301931180.90.5
122119.6New Mexico St.WAC0.52160.520511416-1417-150-20-22-66-59-07-7181162122-2.4-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
117119.8OaklandSum0.52320.454928121-1121-110-20-12-32-217-36-61492421172.81.5
120121.9IdahoWAC0.52220.519411815-1416-150-20-23-26-57-36-71761641201.90.2
123124.4BelmontASun0.51900.477221519-1219-120-20-00-05-814-24-5127751231.40.7
124125.3North TexasSB0.51860.488717819-1219-120-00-20-36-513-16-41281711241.30.5
125125.5RiderMAAC0.51850.487518419-1219-121-11-13-34-611-26-52132921250.50.2
126127.5Virginia Military InstBSth0.51760.443830520-820-80-00-01-04-415-45-2812881261.50.8
131130.1RichmondA100.51530.509013716-1417-151-20-32-33-611-17-7172186131-0.9-0.1
128131.5TroySB0.51620.478121118-1218-120-01-41-14-312-44-72652771283.51.5
133131.9DrexelCAA0.51490.508913815-1415-140-10-21-56-28-45-510079133-1.1-0.5
127132.4Texas TechB120.51620.58101812-1812-191-51-64-43-34-19-579621275.40.6
129133.1St. LouisA100.51620.514112516-1316-140-21-22-46-48-28-51792551294.10.4
134133.4Kent St.MAC0.51260.495716417-1319-140-20-31-46-412-07-7168152134-0.6-0.1
130133.4Wisconsin MilwaukeeHorz0.51540.513512715-1415-141-10-23-72-19-33-62231411303.41.4
137133.5Sam Houston St.Slnd0.51130.485719014-1115-120-00-11-24-611-22-7247147137-3.5-0.2
132133.5RadfordBSth0.51510.477021618-1118-110-10-10-24-514-20-8302591321.50.7
136134.1Morgan St.MEAC0.51150.452828719-1121-110-20-11-32-218-45-8155129136-1.9-0.2
135137.7James MadisonCAA0.51190.487518319-1419-140-00-21-66-412-39-41242801352.71.4
139138.6Morehead St.OVC0.51120.486318817-1517-150-10-10-110-67-62-9252158139-0.4-0.2
144139.0Oral RobertsSum0.50890.496516115-1515-160-20-20-62-313-31-1023014144-5.0-0.6
152139.5Cal St. NorthridgeBW0.50620.485419214-1315-130-00-20-16-810-33-8254177152-12.5-0.9
145142.1Tennessee MartinOVC0.50880.443430620-920-90-10-00-15-515-25-4227329145-2.9-1.5
146144.3JacksonvilleASun0.50810.482419918-1318-130-10-10-35-413-42-725667146-1.7-0.7
138144.4Texas A&M Corpus ChrisSlnd0.51120.493516714-1415-150-20-10-36-49-43-92141351386.40.6
140144.7MassachusettsA100.51050.55315811-1711-181-22-01-74-53-34-8183341404.70.4
149146.3South AlabamaSB0.50690.473122319-1219-130-10-21-44-414-26-4202313149-2.7-0.4
148146.4Southern IllinoisMVC0.50730.54497512-1812-180-10-62-75-25-24-716745148-1.6-0.6
141147.6Central FloridaCUSA0.51010.503514716-1317-140-11-22-56-39-39-41011991416.60.5
142147.7ArkansasSEC0.50930.54237914-1514-161-11-41-105-16-112-1321871425.70.6
151148.6Murray St.OVC0.50630.476121917-1217-120-11-10-25-711-23-6210116151-2.4-0.9
153149.8Austin PeayOVC0.50590.481820117-1317-130-10-00-26-911-12-721699153-3.2-1.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
150150.9Long Beach St.BW0.50680.500115515-1416-150-21-11-27-57-55-8187891500.90.1
143151.6Oregon St.P100.50920.54836611-1611-170-32-33-53-33-34-52502941438.60.9
154151.9LibertyBSth0.50570.455627718-1118-110-10-01-03-514-55-4121223154-2.1-0.9
147152.3MarshallCUSA0.50760.54587312-1613-170-20-41-57-65-15-7141331475.30.4
158155.3PacificBW0.50330.468423816-1117-120-10-21-06-510-46-5177263158-2.7-0.2
156156.6Georgia TechACC0.50540.56623911-1811-191-70-12-83-45-09-41161881560.60.1
160156.9Boston UniversityAE0.50320.484119717-1317-130-00-02-44-711-26-7222249160-3.1-1.8
161157.1Wichita St.MVC0.50310.522311215-1615-161-12-33-51-58-26-5196202161-3.9-1.8
155157.5Nicholls St.Slnd0.50560.457527116-1017-110-00-21-32-314-34-62252581552.50.2
166159.4MD Baltimore CountyAE0.49960.501915114-1614-170-10-02-53-89-35-7162140166-6.6-0.8
164159.8ManhattanMAAC0.50110.489717716-1416-140-20-12-54-311-37-4133239164-4.2-1.9
157160.7St. John'sBE0.50530.54307815-1615-170-71-22-74-19-09-41662051573.70.4
159161.7Iowa St.B120.50330.53448814-1614-170-60-34-34-26-310-41502841592.70.2
162162.0Texas ChristianMWC0.50290.526910313-1613-170-50-41-35-47-18-5147248162-0.0-0.0
165162.9DrakeMVC0.50050.513512616-1516-150-11-33-66-26-39-398159165-2.1-0.9
172163.1Holy CrossPat0.49680.466824218-1318-140-10-01-44-413-55-10266230172-8.9-1.0
168164.4Bowling GreenMAC0.49930.470023316-1217-130-00-31-35-310-45-7269307168-3.6-0.3
163164.9Southern MississippiCUSA0.50150.54477611-1611-170-20-33-64-34-37-467401631.90.2
167167.1Illinois ChicagoHorz0.49940.492417015-1515-150-20-13-72-210-37-3942521670.10.0
170169.6NavyPat0.49850.450029119-1119-110-10-00-34-115-611-497287170-0.4-0.2
171171.0Middle TennesseeSB0.49740.487218616-1416-140-10-20-33-613-25-51992561710.00.0
177171.1Texas ArlingtonSlnd0.49370.465724513-1314-140-00-01-23-710-54-6169264176-4.9-0.3
173173.1WoffordSC0.49660.477021715-1415-140-10-10-34-611-33-51481321730.10.1
175175.3Eastern KentuckyOVC0.49400.446629916-1216-120-00-00-15-711-46-31153041750.30.2
174175.5UC Santa BarbaraBW0.49410.492117114-1415-150-20-20-14-611-46-6134921741.50.1
169176.5OregonP100.49890.592788-228-230-50-71-65-42-06-67871697.51.0
176177.2AlbanyAE0.49380.490417615-1615-160-30-03-23-59-68-5892191770.20.1
178177.5The CitadelSC0.49300.457427218-1218-120-10-11-24-413-43-6271257178-0.5-0.2
179178.7ChattanoogaSC0.49240.487418516-1616-160-31-01-44-511-42-715813179-0.3-0.2
182179.6OhioMAC0.49100.497115914-1615-170-20-03-24-78-57-7142154182-2.4-0.2
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
181181.6MercerASun0.49110.468423916-1516-150-10-21-03-712-55-51041571810.60.4
184182.4Louisiana TechWAC0.48930.484419414-1515-160-10-22-36-57-58-5165319184-1.6-0.2
183182.8Sacred HeartNEC0.49060.462025417-1417-140-00-00-41-616-44-7239267183-0.2-0.1
180183.6South FloridaBE0.49140.5693369-219-220-71-32-61-65-05-7189901803.60.4
186184.1Jackson St.SWAC0.48810.441731116-1418-150-20-30-31-317-41-1126054186-1.9-0.2
185184.7MontanaBSky0.48900.460326015-1215-120-20-00-23-412-44-6212191185-0.3-0.2
189186.7San Jose St.WAC0.48600.511113011-1611-170-10-20-53-78-35-6207224189-2.3-0.3
190188.3Western CarolinaSC0.48530.479021014-1514-150-10-20-15-69-53-514478190-1.7-1.0
203191.0Alabama St.SWAC0.47880.398334017-919-90-00-10-41-218-21-7313254203-12.0-1.1
194192.1Stony BrookAE0.48310.465424715-1415-140-10-00-55-210-67-5190301194-1.9-1.0
188192.4GeorgiaSEC0.48620.54457712-1912-200-31-44-82-46-19-61882061884.40.7
193194.0San DiegoWCC0.48310.494016614-1614-160-00-62-35-57-27-7146951931.00.4
187194.2RutgersBE0.48650.54537411-2011-210-70-20-73-38-19-41292011877.21.4
192194.8St. BonaventureA100.48340.474322215-1415-150-10-30-56-39-49-41863231922.80.3
198195.2Idaho St.BSky0.48090.512612812-1812-191-10-30-73-48-42-112189198-2.8-0.3
191195.2UC RiversideBW0.48350.437831616-1217-130-00-00-17-610-58-41713381914.20.4
197195.4Loyola MDMAAC0.48170.511512912-2012-200-30-10-63-69-45-815981197-1.6-0.7
195195.8Santa ClaraWCC0.48230.490417514-1714-170-01-51-26-56-56-92292311950.80.4
196199.1Colorado St.MWC0.48210.5487659-2010-210-40-42-52-56-35-82081201963.10.3
204199.3Cal St. FullertonBW0.47860.481620213-1614-170-10-20-05-79-66-7160173204-4.7-0.5
201199.6TulaneCUSA0.47920.506713912-1613-170-20-42-43-47-45-7220150200-0.4-0.0
199201.1NC AshevilleBSth0.47930.484319512-1612-160-30-10-13-69-51-7224111992.11.2
202201.7CanisiusMAAC0.47890.511013111-2011-200-40-10-56-65-46-584110202-0.3-0.2
200203.5George WashingtonA100.47920.524211010-1810-180-10-22-64-64-46-6126982012.51.5
205203.6CharlotteA100.47790.53059511-1911-201-21-31-52-76-36-8194112205-1.4-0.2
206205.4Indiana St.MVC0.47660.526510510-2110-210-12-31-63-74-42-9304209206-0.6-0.4
209206.4LamarSlnd0.47570.484019811-1511-150-20-00-24-57-65-5113145209-2.6-1.4
207206.5New HampshireAE0.47610.482320013-1613-160-00-00-67-46-54-7261300207-0.5-0.3
211207.3Texas San AntonioSlnd0.47520.440731214-1214-130-00-10-12-812-36-4193335211-3.7-0.4
210210.4IndianaB100.47540.596355-245-250-50-90-83-22-14-7185282100.40.1
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
213210.5East CarolinaCUSA0.47160.506014110-1610-170-31-10-43-67-25-5153151213-2.5-0.2
208210.5DePaulBE0.47570.5644428-238-240-70-50-64-64-08-51071052082.50.5
212211.5Missouri St.MVC0.47170.527710211-2011-200-10-42-74-65-28-47783212-0.5-0.3
214212.1IonaMAAC0.47140.492516912-1912-190-21-22-23-87-55-7201214214-1.9-1.1
216215.3Loyola ChicagoHorz0.47070.484419313-1713-171-10-11-62-79-27-4161290216-0.7-0.4
215215.3PresbyterianBSth0.47080.480920412-1712-170-20-20-23-69-63-8182562150.30.1
217215.6TowsonCAA0.47010.505914212-2212-220-10-21-74-97-45-8205163217-1.4-0.7
218218.4Florida InternationalSB0.46850.502614912-1912-190-11-30-52-79-34-72331212180.40.3
219219.6Gardner WebbBSth0.46800.479920610-1710-170-10-00-33-87-51-7203382190.60.5
221221.9Coppin St.MEAC0.46300.472022811-1812-190-50-20-00-412-71-11258472210.90.1
222223.6StetsonASun0.46280.485519111-1711-170-20-20-12-79-52-5156152230.60.4
227223.8Montana St.BSky0.46160.461625512-1612-170-00-01-35-96-55-6173215227-3.2-0.6
224224.0DelawareCAA0.46260.487718213-1913-190-01-11-55-66-77-62062732240.00.0
225224.1DenverSB0.46250.459926315-1615-160-01-00-34-610-75-6237271225-0.9-0.5
228227.1IUPU Fort WayneSum0.46160.470823012-1712-170-20-20-21-511-64-6154134228-0.9-0.5
229228.5SamfordSC0.46060.450129014-1614-160-00-10-23-1011-33-4139128229-0.5-0.3
223228.9HawaiiWAC0.46280.497515813-1614-170-20-10-35-78-38-52382782226.90.6
231229.3YaleIvy0.46040.448629612-1512-150-00-00-13-69-84-9253283232-2.7-1.6
232230.4Central ConnecticutNEC0.46000.462125313-1713-170-00-11-21-811-65-6178203231-0.6-0.3
220230.9RiceCUSA0.46370.52671049-219-220-30-31-43-76-45-91805222010.91.4
226232.0UC IrvineBW0.46180.472522612-1713-180-10-10-14-98-64-92682742266.00.6
233232.4Chicago St.ind0.45930.412933417-1317-130-10-10-30-317-57-11241266233-0.6-0.2
236234.0QuinnipiacNEC0.45820.443230715-1615-160-00-00-21-714-74-7296330236-2.0-1.0
230234.3ColoradoB120.46040.5467708-218-220-60-30-72-46-27-62352602304.30.8
234234.5Eastern WashingtonBSky0.45920.474722111-1611-160-20-10-24-67-55-61321022340.50.2
237234.8LipscombASun0.45810.434632015-1415-140-00-00-05-510-92-5329340237-2.2-1.1
238235.2Fresno St.WAC0.45720.503214811-2012-210-10-41-33-108-28-7198247238-2.8-0.2
235235.8Georgia St.CAA0.45820.499815610-2010-200-10-41-32-77-61-93182292350.80.3
240240.4Long IslandNEC0.45570.426832316-1416-140-00-00-02-614-84-73223362400.40.3
242241.0Utah Valleyind0.45540.419733015-1115-110-00-11-21-313-58-8231270242-1.0-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
239241.0HamptonMEAC0.45610.440331314-1515-160-00-21-13-211-124-72341922392.00.2
241241.3Youngstown St.Horz0.45540.50181529-199-190-20-02-63-64-62-72932412410.30.2
246243.1Southeastern LouisianaSlnd0.45300.47002349-169-170-00-20-42-67-52-7245200246-2.9-0.2
243243.1Arkansas St.SB0.45460.470023211-1711-170-00-10-32-69-66-31112972430.10.1
248245.3Bethune CookmanMEAC0.45250.429132213-1515-160-00-10-11-414-103-7192176248-2.7-0.2
244245.6IUPUISum0.45370.439631413-1413-140-00-10-21-612-54-42153062441.60.8
247246.7William & MaryCAA0.45250.50921369-209-200-00-21-42-116-44-6211122247-0.3-0.2
245246.8HarvardIvy0.45330.436531713-1413-140-00-01-13-29-117-62093112451.81.0
250250.2WagnerNEC0.45140.419233116-1416-140-00-00-13-413-98-32193422500.20.1
249250.4PennsylvaniaIvy0.45180.472922510-1711-170-20-10-20-711-54-102511702491.40.2
259250.6South Carolina St.MEAC0.44790.432032112-1313-140-10-00-11-312-91-6294124259-8.4-0.5
252251.1Appalachian St.SC0.45060.466524412-1812-180-00-20-43-89-52-6284182252-0.9-0.5
251252.8San FranciscoWCC0.45130.48791809-199-190-00-50-24-84-46-71231492511.80.7
253254.4St. Peter'sMAAC0.44950.477521411-1911-190-20-10-33-88-53-83273312531.40.9
254254.7Arkansas Pine BluffSWAC0.44930.436531812-1713-180-10-40-30-513-51-10240612540.70.1
255255.8LehighPat0.44920.423832615-1415-140-00-00-23-612-610-41953372550.80.3
257256.3CampbellASun0.44860.453728512-1612-160-00-00-04-68-101-6323222258-1.7-1.1
258256.8North Carolina A&TMEAC0.44850.422432813-1513-160-00-10-20-613-72-8270228257-0.2-0.0
256256.9WinthropBSth0.44880.479520810-1910-190-00-10-32-108-61-9275502560.90.4
260259.4ValparaisoHorz0.44780.5294997-227-220-30-10-83-64-42-824646260-0.6-0.3
261260.1Savannah St.ind0.44720.452528911-1411-140-10-30-22-29-68-10232238261-0.9-0.4
266260.5Texas St.Slnd0.44080.458326610-1511-160-00-10-14-66-83-6299310266-5.5-0.4
262261.2MaristMAAC0.44630.505214410-2310-230-31-12-41-97-65-8228180262-0.8-0.5
263264.9Southern UtahSum0.44260.478121210-1910-190-00-11-41-58-91-8289872631.91.2
264265.6Jacksonville St.OVC0.44160.46042589-179-170-00-10-14-95-64-41122122641.61.1
267267.2Louisiana LafayetteSB0.44080.50091549-209-200-10-30-33-76-72-8277962670.20.1
269267.6Ball St.MAC0.43950.452728812-1613-170-10-11-33-610-65-7217169269-1.4-0.1
273267.7Prairie View A&MSWAC0.43830.416333312-1513-160-10-10-21-512-70-9326136273-5.3-0.4
265267.9Southern MethodistCUSA0.44160.51981178-208-210-20-40-64-65-35-72622262652.90.3
268268.7Tennessee St.OVC0.43960.450029211-1711-170-00-00-13-138-32-73323262680.70.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
272269.0UC DavisBW0.43840.449529412-1813-190-00-00-05-148-55-9303334272-3.0-0.3
270270.3Northern ColoradoBSky0.43930.449229512-1812-180-00-20-23-99-64-92812912700.30.1
271271.1Tennessee TechOVC0.43860.464924910-1810-180-10-00-11-119-54-52042082710.10.0
274273.6ElonSC0.43730.48122039-209-200-00-10-45-84-71-628294274-0.4-0.3
275274.1NC WilmingtonCAA0.43700.51921197-257-250-11-20-51-135-54-9236106275-0.9-0.6
276275.5PepperdineWCC0.43610.50611407-237-230-10-50-32-105-41-13300114276-0.5-0.2
277277.0ColgatePat0.43610.454728210-2010-200-10-10-21-79-94-10290324277-0.0-0.0
279277.2St. Francis NYNEC0.43520.462325210-2010-200-00-00-02-138-73-8273265279-1.8-1.0
280278.7ArmyPat0.43460.457527011-1911-190-00-00-51-410-104-10312320280-1.3-0.9
281280.3New OrleansSB0.43400.465624610-1810-180-00-10-43-67-74-5259322281-0.7-0.4
282280.8DetroitHorz0.43390.50231506-236-230-30-10-71-55-74-6184233282-1.2-0.9
278280.8Air ForceMWC0.43520.51051337-207-210-40-40-30-97-17-42263152782.80.3
283282.3South Dakota St.Sum0.43280.460226111-2011-200-00-20-33-88-83-8264253283-0.7-0.7
285285.1South Carolina UpstateASun0.42910.47562209-219-210-00-10-32-97-71-92801042850.10.1
284285.2MaineAE0.42930.47992078-218-210-10-00-62-86-64-82432342841.20.9
286286.3Eastern IllinoisOVC0.42760.449529310-1810-180-00-00-12-108-72-73173082860.30.2
288287.8ColumbiaIvy0.42760.435731912-1612-160-00-00-20-712-75-9307321288-0.2-0.2
287288.0Louisiana MonroeSB0.42760.47212279-209-200-00-11-41-67-93-72972792871.00.6
289290.5PrincetonIvy0.42480.423032711-1411-150-00-00-11-410-104-83253392891.50.3
290291.0FordhamA100.42460.5357873-253-250-30-20-41-102-52-102981422901.00.9
291291.1Northern ArizonaBSky0.42380.49101736-196-190-00-00-50-96-51-8242262910.10.1
294293.4Western MichiganMAC0.42150.455228010-1910-200-00-10-42-88-73-10287195294-0.6-0.1
293293.5BucknellPat0.42170.49611637-237-230-10-01-33-93-93-122831372930.50.3
296293.6Delaware St.MEAC0.42080.47302247-228-230-20-20-30-58-110-1229239296-2.4-0.3
292294.2Central MichiganMAC0.42300.444030411-1812-190-00-22-21-69-94-92792502922.20.2
297295.5Longwoodind0.42060.392634313-1413-140-00-10-31-212-87-10278325297-1.5-0.7
295295.6CentenarySum0.42100.46972368-238-230-10-10-52-76-92-102862102950.60.2
298296.4HartfordAE0.42050.49311687-267-260-10-10-82-95-74-11255198298-1.6-0.8
300297.0Georgia SouthernSC0.42000.48801797-227-220-10-11-42-94-72-617516300-3.0-1.6
299298.2McNeese St.Slnd0.42030.45332869-189-180-00-21-11-87-74-7267296299-0.8-0.4
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
301301.4Coastal CarolinaBSth0.41730.45612758-198-190-10-00-12-76-103-52002203010.40.4
302303.1Cal St. Bakersfieldind0.41580.45442848-208-200-00-10-12-96-86-203193053021.10.7
305303.9Cal PolyBW0.41440.46982357-207-200-10-10-13-94-84-7285269305-1.1-0.8
304304.4BrownIvy0.41510.45782689-199-190-00-00-51-38-116-82212373040.40.3
309304.8Norfolk St.MEAC0.41080.407533611-1712-180-00-10-10-212-141-9334314309-4.2-0.5
303305.1Bryantind0.41530.45562798-218-210-10-00-30-98-87-202762403032.11.8
306306.8Florida A&MMEAC0.41190.44643009-2010-210-00-10-42-57-102-92491093060.80.1
307307.7LafayettePat0.41160.46682438-228-220-00-10-42-66-114-113143023070.70.6
308308.1Missouri Kansas CitySum0.41140.46082567-227-220-10-11-31-65-124-71911963080.10.1
310308.8Florida Gulf CoastASun0.41060.459826410-2010-200-20-10-21-89-73-7295221310-1.2-1.0
311310.6Northwestern St.Slnd0.40890.44263088-208-200-00-20-40-78-75-7248327311-0.4-0.3
313311.9Florida AtlanticSB0.40780.49161726-266-260-00-30-51-95-94-9257232313-1.1-1.1
312312.3Houston Baptistind0.40800.49671604-254-250-20-30-30-104-71-223101183120.30.2
314314.2Fairleigh DickinsonNEC0.40510.46042597-237-230-10-00-30-77-121-113282163140.20.3
315315.5DartmouthIvy0.40330.44623018-198-190-00-10-20-38-131-123403093150.50.7
318317.0ToledoMAC0.40060.48411966-246-250-10-10-61-95-81-1329163318-1.0-0.4
317317.4NC GreensboroSC0.40070.47752134-254-250-00-10-30-134-80-83382463170.40.3
316317.5Eastern MichiganMAC0.40290.46532486-236-240-10-30-21-85-100-133301683161.50.3
319319.6Central ArkansasSlnd0.39970.46342516-196-190-00-00-42-74-83-62722273190.60.3
322319.8Winston Salem St.MEAC0.39780.43923156-216-210-10-10-00-76-121-8274153322-2.2-1.4
320320.2Loyola MarymountWCC0.39970.51091323-273-270-10-50-41-122-61-143061013200.20.2
324321.8Texas SouthernSWAC0.39570.44493027-248-250-10-30-30-88-100-1330158324-2.2-0.4
321322.3MonmouthNEC0.39820.45572768-238-230-10-10-22-66-142-113333033211.31.2
323323.9Charleston SouthernBSth0.39690.45822676-206-200-10-00-20-106-72-62881813230.91.4
325325.6North FloridaASun0.39470.44772987-227-220-20-10-10-87-111-83313123250.60.6
326325.8St. Francis PANEC0.39440.45772696-236-230-00-00-31-75-133-8263262326-0.2-0.2
327327.2High PointBSth0.39370.44223096-216-210-00-10-10-106-92-63163183270.20.3
329328.0HowardMEAC0.38790.44822978-229-230-00-10-21-97-111-11324184329-1.0-0.3
330328.7Northern IllinoisMAC0.38610.41993299-199-200-00-00-31-78-104-8315333330-1.3-0.4
328329.0Western IllinoisSum0.38810.41693328-208-200-10-00-30-58-112-83423433281.01.3
ExpectedRPISOSSOS RankCurrentProjected1-2526-5051-100101-200200+Non Conf ForecastsCurrentOver-
OverallRPI RankTeamConfForecastForecastForecastW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LW-LRPISOSRPIRatedt-stat
332331.2Mississippi Valley St.SWAC0.37950.44183107-247-250-10-20-31-86-100-1330971332-0.8-0.2
331331.4Texas Pan Americanind0.38240.42563246-176-170-00-10-40-36-91-123201663310.40.6
333333.0FurmanSC0.37910.47032314-244-240-00-00-61-93-90-73392823330.00.0
334333.8Alabama A&MSWAC0.37200.39643417-168-170-00-10-20-58-91-424476334-0.2-0.1
335334.4SouthernSWAC0.36600.39603428-208-210-00-10-10-68-130-10341299335-0.6-0.4
336336.1Kennesaw St.ASun0.36420.42453256-226-220-00-00-00-106-123-53213413360.10.4
337336.7Maryland Eastern ShoreMEAC0.36210.40153397-227-230-10-00-10-57-163-9305332337-0.3-0.3
338338.2Southeast Missouri St.OVC0.35850.45712732-262-260-00-00-30-122-112-83112723380.20.5
339339.0North Carolina Centralind0.35820.46002622-262-260-10-20-50-62-130-193352183390.00.0
340340.2Sacramento St.BSky0.35320.45562782-272-270-00-00-31-111-141-123362813400.20.6
341340.7GramblingSWAC0.35100.41153355-235-240-00-20-11-74-141-9308179341-0.3-0.2
342341.8Alcorn St.SWAC0.33860.40633384-244-250-10-10-11-54-170-10337245342-0.2-0.5
343343.0NJ Inst of Technologyind0.30980.40633371-301-300-00-00-20-61-220-193433283430.0NaN

Thanks to Ken Pomeroy for the schedules data and Jeff Sagarin for the use of "PREDICTOR" to generate probabilities.
Please email any comments, questions or suggestions to: questions@rpiforecast.com