Publications, Data, & Research Materials

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Robert J. Franzese, Jr.
Professor, Department of Political Science,

Research Professor, Center for Political Studies, Institute for Social Research
The University of Michigan, Ann Arbor

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Last Updated: 16 July 2009

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• Books:
• Modeling and Interpreting Interactive Hypotheses in Regression Analysis: A Brief Refresher and Some Practical Advice (with Cindy D. Kam), University of Michigan Press, 2007.
• Lecture (powerpoint, sample data, code, & spreadsheets; based on the book) on Modeling & Interpreting Interactions, including QualDep, Multilevel, & NLS Extensions (given at Notre Dame, August 2005, revision March 2008).
• (Co-Editor) Institutional Conflicts and Complementarities: Monetary Policy and Wage Bargaining Institutions in EMU, P. Mooslechner, M. Schuerz, R. Franzese, eds., Kluwer Academic Press, 2004.
• Macroeconomic Policies of Developed Democracies, Cambridge Studies in Comparative Politics, Cambridge University Press, 2002.
• Awards: Nominated for William H. Riker Award for Best Book on Political Economy, 2001-2.
• Outline Overview of the Book
• Web Appendix: Additional data, figures, results, and discussion that fulfill various promises of same made in the text.
• Data Appendices: Describes construction of the inequality index (income skew), party left-right codes, governments' partisan center of gravity, electoral cycle indicator, central bank autonomy and conservatism index, and coordination of wage/price bargaining index.
• Methodological Appendices: Very briefly discuss unit roots in time-series-cross-section (TSCS) data, interpreting interactive terms in linear regression, and vector autoregression in TSCS data. Describe and provide a GAUSS procedure for estimating panel-corrected standard-errors in non-rectangular TSCS data with missing values and an E-Views procedure for estimating cross-validated standard errors in TSCS data.
• Data: (Country Codes in OECD order: 1=US, 2=Japan, 3=(West) Germany, 4=France, 5=Italy, 6=U.K., 7=Canada, 8=Austria, 9=Belgium, 10=Denmark, 11=Finland, 12=Greece, 13=Ireland, 14=Netherlands, 15=Norway, 16=Portugal, 17=Spain, 18=Sweden, 19=Switzerland, 20=Australia, 21=New Zealand)
• Data Files, Complete Results, Tables and Figures in Lotus 1-2-3 Format
• Data Files Only in Excel Format
• Participation, Inequality, and Transfers Data Base (Chapter 2) (ASCII Text Format: *.TXT; other formats available under related-title entry below)
• The Political Economy of Public Debt Data Base (Chapter 3) (ASCII Text Format: *.TXT; other formats available under related-title entry below)
• CBI, CWB, and Sectoral-Structure Data Base (Chapter 4) (ASCII Text Format: *.TXT; other formats available under related-title entries below)
• Journal Articles:
• “Interdependence in Comparative Politics: Substance, Theory, Empirics, Substance” (w/ Jude C. Hays), Comparative Political Studies, 40^th Anniversary Issue: “Frontiers of Comparative Politics,” 41(4/5):742-80, 2008.
• Web Appendix (Contains: Expanded references; elaboration of intellectual-historical origins Galton’s Problem; distinguishing spatial-statistical and spatial-econometric approaches; Persson & Tabellini’s formal-theoretical political-economy model of tax competition; formal statements & further discussion of omitted-variable and endogeneity biases of non-spatial and spatial-lag least-squares estimators; and formal introduction of the spatial maximum-likelihood estimator.)
• Data, Code, & Template Implementation Files (Contains: Stata code for spatial-autoregressive-model estimation by maximum likelihood; Stata code for calculating spatial dynamics, effects, and standard errors; Lotus 1-2-3 *.wk1 and Stata *.dta files of data and contiguity matrix; MatLab code for reanalysis of this paper’s estimations.)
• “Spatial-Econometric Models of Cross-Sectional Interdependence in Political-Science Panel and Time-Series-Cross-Section Data” (w/ Jude C. Hays), Political Analysis 15(2):140-64, 2007.
• “Strategic Interaction among EU Governments in Active-Labor-Market Policymaking: Subsidiarity and Policy Coordination under the European Employment Strategy” (w/ Jude C. Hays), European Union Politics 7(2):167-89, 2006.
• Awards: Sage Award for best paper in Volume 7 of European Union Politics.
• Data & Code: All data employed in generating, and the code to replicate, the results in the paper.
• “Adaptive Management of the Global Climate Problem: Bridging the Gap Between Climate Research and Climate Policy,” (w/ J Arvai, G Bridge, N Dolsak, T Koontz, A Luginbuhl, P Robbins, K Richards, K Smith Korfmacher, B Sohngen, J Tansey, A Thompson), Climatic Change 78(1):217-25, 2006.
• “Empirical Strategies for Various Manifestations of Multilevel Data,” Political Analysis 13(4):430-46, 2005. Appendix.
• Awards: Warren E. Miller Award for best paper in Volume 13 of Political Analysis.
• “Multiple Hands on the Wheel: Empirically Modeling Partial Delegation and Shared Control of Monetary Policy in the Open and Institutionalized Economy,” Political Analysis 11(4):445-74, 2003.
• Data: All data employed in the paper.
• “Electoral and Partisan Cycles in Economic Policies and Outcomes,” Annual Reviews of Political Science, Vol. 5: 369-421, 2002.
• “Comparative Institutional Advantage: The Scope for Divergence within European Economic Integration” (w/ James Mosher), European Union Politics 3(2):177-204, 2002.
• “Strategic Interactions of Monetary Policymakers and Wage/Price Bargainers: A Review with Implications for the European Common-Currency Area,” Empirica: Journal of Applied Economics and Economic Policy, 2001, 28(4): 457-86.
• “Wage Bargaining under EMU,” (w/ Peter Mooslechner, Martin Schuerz), intro. to Empirica: Journal of Applied Economics and Economic Policy, 2001, 28(4):321-3.
• “Partially Independent Central Banks, Politically Responsive Governments, and Inflation,” American Journal of Political Science 43(3): 681-706, 1999.
• Original submission: “Two Hands on the Wheel: Independent Central Banks, Politically Responsive Governments, & Inflation”
• Awards: Pi Sigma Alpha Award for best paper, MPSA 1998; Nominated for the Robert H. Durr Award for best paper applying quantitative methods to a substantive problem, MPSA 1998.
• Dataset: All data necessary to replicate the results in the article.
• Data Appendix/Codebook: Data appendix to article, which also serves as codebook to data.
• Archive: Zip archive of both paper versions, the data, and the codebook.
• “Mixed Signals: Central Bank Independence, Coordinated Wage-Bargaining, and European Monetary Union” (with Peter A. Hall), International Organization 52(3):505-36, 1998.
• German translation & reprint: “Uneinheitliche Signale: Zentralbankunabhängigkei und koordinierte Lohnaushandlung in der Europäischen Währungsunion,” in Martin Höpner & Armin Schäfer, eds., Die Politische Ökonomie der europäischen Integration, Frankfurt/New York: Campus Verlag, 2008, pp. 369-405 (translation: Martin Höpner).
• Afterword, reflections 10 years on: “Die Europäische Wirtschafts- und Währungsunion als Work in Progress,” in Martin Höpner & Armin Schäfer, eds., Die Politische Ökonomie der europäischen Integration, Frankfurt/New York: Campus Verlag, 2008, pp. 407-413 (translation: Martin Höpner).
• Awards: Gregory Leubbert Award for best published article in comparative politics 1997/98, awarded by Comparative Politics Organized Section of APSA.
• Abstract: Abstract of article.
• Data: All data employed in the paper.
• Archive: Archive file of papers & data.
• Replication Archive: Gauss Data and Procedures to Replicate Results (you will need the PCSE command file below also).
• Chapters:
• “Empirical Models of Spatial Interdependence” (w/ Jude C. Hays), in Oxford Handbook of Political Methodology, J. Box-Steffensmeier, H. Brady, & D. Collier, eds., Oxford University Press, 2008, pp. 570-604. (This version contains the corrected equations 14 & 15—the robust LM tests against spatial-error & spatial-lag alternatives, respectively—the equations 14 & 15 that will appear in the published version are incorrect, unfortunately.)
• Data & Code:
• Errata: Document containing just the corrections to equations 14 & 15, the robust LM tests against spatial-error & spatial-lag alternatives, as they appear in the published version.
• “Empirical Modeling of Spatial Interdependence in Time-Series Cross-Sections” (w/ Jude C. Hays), in S. Pickel, G. Pickel, H-J. Lauth, D. Jahn, eds., Methoden der vergleichenden Politik- und Sozialwissenschaft: Neue Entwicklungen und Anwendungen. (Methods of Comparative Political and Social Science: New Developments & Applications), Wiesbaden: Westdeutscher Verlag, December 2008.
• Data & Code:
• “Inequality & Unemployment, Redistribution & Insurance, and Participation: A Theoretical Model & an Empirical System of Endogenous Equations” (w/ Jude C. Hays), in Democracy, Inequality, & Representation, P. Beramendi & C. Anderson, eds., Russell Sage, 2008, pp. 232-77.
• Data: Large dataset of postwar developed-democratic political & economic variables described in the paper.
• “Multi-Causality, Context Conditionality, and Endogeneity” in Oxford Handbook of Comparative Politics, C. Boix, S. Stokes, eds., Oxford University Press, 2007, pp. 27-72.
• Previously circulated under title: “Context Matters: The Challenge of Multi-Causality, Context-Conditionality, and Endogeneity for Empirical Research in Comparative Politics”
• “Fiscal Policy with Multiple Policymakers: Veto Actors and Deadlock, Collective Action and Common Pools, Bargaining and Compromise” in Veto Players and Policy Change, Hideko Magara, ed., Waseda University Press, 2007, pp. 118-61 (published in Japanese, translation: Hiroshi Tsukada; web link is to English version).
• Japanese Citation: ロバート・J. フランツェーゼ，Jr.著「複数の政策決定者を伴う財政政策－拒否権アクターとデッドロック，集合行為と共有資源，交渉と妥協－」，眞柄秀子・井戸正伸編『拒否権プレイヤーと政策転換』早稲田大学出版部，2007年，118-61頁。
• Data & Results: All data employed & results reported in the paper.
• “Empirical Models of International Capital-Tax Competition” (w/ Jude C. Hays), in International Taxation Handbook, G. Gregoriou & C. Read., eds., Elsevier, 2007, pp. 43-72.
• Data & Code:
• “Political-Economic Cycles” (w/ Karen Long Jusko), in Oxford Handbook of Political Economy, D. Wittman & B. Weingast, eds., 2006, 545-64.
• “Strategic Interactions of the ECB, Wage/Price Bargainers, and Governments: A Review of Theory, Evidence, and Recent Experience,” in Institutional Conflicts and Complementarities: Monetary Policy and Wage Bargaining Institutions in EMU, P. Mooslechner, M. Schuerz, R. Franzese, eds., Kluwer, 2004:5-42.
• “Participation, Veto Actors, and Policy Responsiveness in the Evolution and Reform of Health Care in Developed Democracies,” in Fukusi Saiken No Seijigaku (Reconstructing the Welfare State), Hideko Magara, ed., 2003, Forthcoming.
• Data & Results: All data employed & results reported in the paper.
• “Adaptive Management and Capacity Approaches to Global Climate Change: Local, National, Regional, and Global Political Considerations,” in ARGCC: Adaptive Research and Governance in Climate Change: Proceedings for the Workshop on the Human Dimensions of Policy Change, May 2003, pp. 79-91.
• “Institutional and Sectoral Interactions in Monetary Policy and Wage-Price Bargaining,” in Varieties of Capitalism: The Institutional Foundations of Comparative Advantage, P. Hall and D. Soskice, eds., Cambridge UP, 2001, pp. 104-44. (Chinese translation available from SDX Pubs)
• Abstract
• Awards: Nominated for The Westview Press Award for best paper by a graduate student, MPSA 1994.
• Data & Full Statistical Results: (Country Codes: 1=US, 2=Japan, 3=(West) Germany, 4=France, 5=Italy, 6=U.K., 7=Canada, 8=Austria, 9=Belgium, 10=Denmark, 11=Finland, 12=Greece, 13=Ireland, 14=Neth., 15=Norway, 16=Portugal, 17=Spain, 18=Sweden, 19=Switzerland, 20=Australia, 21=N.Z.)
• CBI, CWB, and Sectoral Structure Data Base in Lotus 1-2-3 (97) Workbook Format.
• CBI, CWB, and Sectoral Structure Data Base in Lotus 1-2-3 (*.WK1) Worksheet Format.
• CBI, CWB, and Sectoral Structure Data Base in Microsoft Excel (*.XLS) Worksheet Format.
• CBI, CWB, and Sectoral Structure Data Base ASCII Text Format (*.TXT).
• “Electoral and Partisan Manipulation of Public Debt in Developed Democracies, 1956-1990,” in Institutions, Politics and Fiscal Policy, R. Strauch, J. Von Hagen, eds., Kluwer Academic Press, 2000, pp. 61-83.
• Data: (Country Codes in OECD order: 1=US, 2=Japan, 3=(West) Germany, 4=France, 5=Italy, 6=U.K., 7=Canada, 8=Austria, 9=Belgium, 10=Denmark, 11=Finland, 12=Greece, 13=Ireland, 14=Netherlands, 15=Norway, 16=Portugal, 17=Spain, 18=Sweden, 19=Switzerland, 20=Australia, 21=New Zealand)
• The Political Economy of Public Debt Data Base in Lotus 1-2-3 (97) Workbook Format
• The Political Economy of Public Debt Data Base in Lotus 1-2-3 *.wk1 Worksheet Format
• The Political Economy of Public Debt Data Base in Microsoft Excel *.XLS Worksheet Format
• The Political Economy of Public Debt Data Base in ASCII Text Format (*.TXT)
• “Institutional Dimensions of Coordinating Wage-Bargaining and Monetary Policy,” (w/ Peter A. Hall) in Unions, Employers, and Central Banks: Macroeconomic Coordination and Institutional Change in Social Market Economies, T. Iversen, J. Pontusson, D. Soskice, eds., Cambridge University Press, 2000, pp. 173-204.
• Data: (Country Codes in OECD order: 1=US, 2=Japan, 3=(West) Germany, 4=France, 5=Italy, 6=U.K., 7=Canada, 8=Austria, 9=Belgium, 10=Denmark, 11=Finland, 12=Greece, 13=Ireland, 14=Netherlands, 15=Norway, 16=Portugal, 17=Spain, 18=Sweden, 19=Switzerland, 20=Australia, 21=New Zealand)
• “Credibly Conservative Monetary Policy and Labor-Goods Market Organization: A Review with Implications for ECB-Led Monetary Policy in Europe,” in The History of the Bundesbank: Lessons for the European Central Bank, J. de Haan, ed. Routledge, 2000, pp. 97-124.
• Newsletter Contributions, Reviews, and Other Publications:
• Newsletter Contribution: AContagion, Common Exposure, and Selection: Empirical Modeling of the Theories and Substance of Interdependence in Political Science,@ Concepts & Methods: Newsletter of the International Political Science Association, 2009 (forthcoming).
• Web Appendix: Expanded, Subject-Sorted Reference List.
• Newsletter Contribution: AQuantitative Empirical Methods and Context Conditionality [Extended (original submission)],@ CP: Newsletter of the Comparative Politics Organized Section of the American Political Science Association, 2003, 14(1): 20-24.
• Newsletter Contribution: “A GAUSS Procedure to Estimate Panel-Corrected Standard-Errors with Non-rectangular and/or Missing Data,” The Political Methodologist, 1996.
• Procedure: PCSE Command File (*.CMD).
• Announcement: PCSE Documentation (*.PDF).
• Instructions: PCSE Instructions (*.TXT).
• Book Review: “Duane Swank, Global Capital, Political Institutions, and Policy Change,” Political Science Quarterly 188(1):172-3, 2003.
• Book Review: “Carles Boix, Political Parties, Growth and Equality: Conservative and Social Democratic Economic Strategies in the World Economy,” Comparative Political Studies 33(5): 686-90, 2000.
• Book Review: “Alberto Alesina and Nouriel Roubini with Gerald Cohen, Political Cycles and the Macroeconomy.” Journal of Policy Analysis and Management 19(3): 501-9, 2000.
• Working Papers, Conference Papers, and Work in Progress:
• Working Papers:
• “The Effective Constituency in (Re)Distributive Politics: Alternative Bases of Democratic Representation, Geographic versus Partisan” parts joint with Irfan Nooruddin (*.PDF). Juan March Institute Working Paper Series, 2004. As presented to 2004 MPSA (April).
• Awards: Finalist for Robert H. Durr Prize for Best Empirical Application of Quantitative Methodology at MPSA 2002.
• “Modeling International Diffusion: Inferential Benefits and Methodological Challenges, with an Application to International Tax Competition,” (w/ Jude C. Hays) Wissenschaftszentrum-Berlin SP II 2004 – 12, Jun 2004.
• “Mixed Signals: Central Bank Independence, Coordinated Wage-Bargaining, and European Monetary Union,” (w/ Peter A. Hall) U. Cal. Berkeley, Ctr. German and European Studies, Working Paper 1.55, September 1997.
• “Bargains, Games, and Relative Gains: Positional Concerns and International Cooperation,” (w/ Michael J. Hiscox), Harvard Center for International Affairs Paper #95-4, April 1995.
• “Central Bank Independence, Coordinated Wage Bargaining, and Sectoral Structure,” (w/ Peter A. Hall) Harvard Center for European Studies #56 1994 (reprinted: CES #95 1 1995).
• Diagnosing, Modeling, Interpreting, and Leveraging Spatial Relationships in Time-Series-Cross-Section Data (with Jude C. Hays) (parts not linked above)
• Preliminary Book Manuscript (i.e., Compiled Work To Date): “Spatial Econometric Models of Interdependence” (w/ Jude C. Hays). 1 June 2007.
• Proposal: “Diagnosing, Modeling, Interpreting, and Leveraging Spatial Relationships in Time -Series-Cross-Section Data” (w/ Jude C. Hays), Jan 2003.
• Conference Paper: “Modeling Spatial Relationships in International and Comparative Political Economy: An Application to Globalization and Capital Taxation in Developed Democracies” (w/ Jude C. Hays). As Presented at MPSA 2003.
• Conference Paper: “Empirical Modeling Strategies for Spatial Interdependence: Omitted-Variable vs. Simultaneity Biases” (w/ Jude C. Hays), Jul 2004. As Presented to PolMeth 2004 & RC33 6^th International Conference on Social Science Methodology 2004.
• Conference Paper: “Modeling Spatial Interdependence in Comparative and International Political Economy with an Application to Capital Taxation.” As Presented to MPSA 2005.
• Conference Paper: “Spatial Econometric Modeling, with Application to Employment Spillovers and Active-Labor-Market Policies in the European Union” (w/ Jude C. Hays). As Presented at Rijksuniversiteit Groningen, May 2005.
• Conference Paper: “Estimating Spatio-Temporal Models & Calculating Spatio-Temporal Dynamics and Effects” (w/ Jude C. Hays), Jul 2006. As Presented to PolMeth 2006.
• Proposal: “Spatial-Econometric Models for Political & Social Sciences” (w/ Jude C. Hays), Aug 2007.
• Conference Paper: “Correlation in European Union Labor-Market Policies: Interdependence or Common Stimuli?” (w/ Jude C. Hays), Aug 2007. As Presented to APSA 2007.
• Conference Paper: “Spatial Interdependence in Comparative & International Political Economy” (w/ Jude C. Hays), Feb 2008. Paper based on presentation of our spatial-interdependence/econometrics project at Paris 13 (Université Paris), Axe 5: PSE in May 2007.
• Data & Code: All data employed in generating, and the code to replicate, the results in the paper.
• Proposal: “Spatial-Econometric Models for the Political & Social Sciences” (w/ Jude C. Hays), Aug 2008.
• Project Summary, Project Description, Reference List (expanded), Appendix: Spatial Econometrics, Spatial Statistics, & Network Analysis.
• Conference Paper: “The Spatial Probit Model of Interdependent Binary Outcomes: Estimation, Interpretation, and Presentation” (w/ Jude C. Hays), Mar 2009. Paper originally presented to PolMeth & ECPR 2007; update & extension presented at Public Choice 2009.
• Conference Paper: “The m-STAR Model of Dynamic, Endogenous Interdependence and Network-Behavior Coevolution in Comparative & International Political Economy” (w/ Jude C. Hays & Aya Kachi), Jan 2009. Paper originally presented Networks in Political Science (NIPS) conference at Harvard KSG, June 2008; updated & extended version presented at SPSA, January 2009. Further updates & extensions implemented for “An m-STAR Model of Dynamic, Endogenous Interdependence – a.k.a. Network-Behavior Coevolution – in the Social Sciences,” slightly different versions of which were prepared for PolNet (June 2009) and Spatial Econometrics Association (July 2009), having correspondingly different Web Appendices (PolNet 2009, SEA 2009). A final round of extensions is planned for IPES (November 2009).
• Data & Code: All data and code to implement the m-STAR model estimated in the NIPS (June 2008) paper.
• Data & Code: All data and code to implement the m-STAR model estimated in the SPSA (January 2009) paper.
• Data & Code: All data and code to implement the m-STAR model estimated in the PolNet (June 2009) / SEA (July 2009) paper.
• Effective Representation in Democratic Policymaking (parts not linked above)
• Proposal: “Empirical Implications of Theoretical Models of Effective Democratic Representation: Electoral- & Party-Systemic Institutions, Structures, & Strategic Contexts”
• Conference Paper: “Party Unity and the Effective Constituency in Distributive Politics” (w/ Irfan Nooruddin and Karen Long Jusko), 2008.
• Conference Paper: “Multiple Policymakers: Veto Actors Bargaining in Common Pools.” Version presented at MPSA, March 2009.
• Conference Paper: “An Empirical Model of Comparative Democratic Budgeteering: The Context-Conditionality of Policymakers’ Incentives and Capacities for Policy Manipulation.” Version presented at SG-PE C&IPE @ IIIS-TCD, April 2009.
• Conference Paper: “Estimating the Cost of Social-Democratic Government by Regression-Discontinuity Analysis of Close Elections” (w/ Jude C. Hays). Paper presented at International Political Economy Society (IPES) conference, November 2007.
• Conference Paper: “Political Participation, Income Distribution, and Public Transfers in Developed Democracies,” 2002.
• Data: (Country Codes in OECD order: 1=US, 2=Japan, 3=(West) Germany, 4=France, 5=Italy, 6=U.K., 7=Canada, 8=Austria, 9=Belgium, 10=Denmark, 11=Finland, 12=Greece, 13=Ireland, 14=Netherlands, 15=Norway, 16=Portugal, 17=Spain, 18=Sweden, 19=Switzerland, 20=Australia, 21=New Zealand)
• Participation, Inequality, and Transfers Data Base in Lotus 1-2-3 (97) Workbook Format
• Participation, Inequality, and Transfers Data Base in Lotus 1-2-3 (*.WK1) Worksheet Format.
• Participation, Inequality, and Transfers Data Base in Microsoft Excel (*.XLS) Worksheet Format
• Participation, Inequality, and Transfers Data Base ASCII Text Format (*.TXT)
• Conference Paper: “The Political Economy of Public Debt: An Empirical Examination of the OECD Postwar Experience through the 1990s,” 2002.
• Data: (Country Codes in OECD order: 1=US, 2=Japan, 3=(West) Germany, 4=France, 5=Italy, 6=U.K., 7=Canada, 8=Austria, 9=Belgium, 10=Denmark, 11=Finland, 12=Greece, 13=Ireland, 14=Netherlands, 15=Norway, 16=Portugal, 17=Spain, 18=Sweden, 19=Switzerland, 20=Australia, 21=New Zealand)
• The Political Economy of Public Debt Data Base in Lotus 1-2-3 (97) Workbook Format
• The Political Economy of Public Debt Data Base in Lotus 1-2-3 *.wk1 Worksheet Format
• The Political Economy of Public Debt Data Base in Microsoft Excel *.XLS Worksheet Format
• The Political Economy of Public Debt Data Base in ASCII Text Format (*.TXT)
• Conference Paper: “Trade Globalization, Politics, and the Choice of Policies and Institutions: Three Varieties of Institutional Divergence” (w/ James Mosher), 2001.
• Conference Paper: “Modeling Interactive Hypotheses and Interpreting Statistical Evidence Regarding Them” (w/ Cindy D. Kam & Amaney Jamal), American Political Science Association, Annual Meetings 1999, 2001.
• Conference Paper: “Democracy, Economy, and Values: Estimating a Recursive System” (w/ Sean D. Ehrlich & Ronald F. Inglehart), APSA 1999.
• Awards: Nominated for Best Paper in Religion and Politics Presented at the 1999 APSA Meetings.
• Data: All data employed in the paper (Lotus 1-2-3 *.wk3, E-Views *.wf1).