Publications, Data, & Research Materials

---

Robert J. Franzese, Jr.
Associate Professor, Department of Political Science,

Research Associate Professor, Center for Political Studies, Institute for Social Research
The University of Michigan, Ann Arbor

---

Last Updated: 25 March 2008

---

• Books:
• Modeling and Interpreting Interactive Hypotheses in Regression Analysis: A Brief Refresher and Some Practical Advice (with Cindy D. Kam), University of Michigan Press, 2007.
• Lecture (powerpoint, sample data, code, & spreadsheets; based on the book) on Modeling & Interpreting Interactions, including QualDep, Multilevel, & NLS Extensions (given at Notre Dame, August 2005, revision March 2008).
• (Co-Editor) Institutional Conflicts and Complementarities: Monetary Policy and Wage Bargaining Institutions in EMU, P. Mooslechner, M. Schuerz, R. Franzese, eds., Kluwer Academic Press, 2004.
• Macroeconomic Policies of Developed Democracies, Cambridge Studies in Comparative Politics, Cambridge University Press, 2002.
• Awards: Nominated for William H. Riker Award for Best Book on Political Economy, 2001-2.
• Outline Overview of the Book
• Web Appendix: Additional data, figures, results, and discussion that fulfill various promises of same made in the text.
• Data Appendices: Describes construction of the inequality index (income skew), party left-right codes, governments' partisan center of gravity, electoral cycle indicator, central bank autonomy and conservatism index, and coordination of wage/price bargaining index.
• Methodological Appendices: Very briefly discuss unit roots in time-series-cross-section (TSCS) data, interpreting interactive terms in linear regression, and vector autoregression in TSCS data. Describe and provide a GAUSS procedure for estimating panel-corrected standard-errors in non-rectangular TSCS data with missing values and an E-Views procedure for estimating cross-validated standard errors in TSCS data.
• Data: (Country Codes in OECD order: 1=US, 2=Japan, 3=(West) Germany, 4=France, 5=Italy, 6=U.K., 7=Canada, 8=Austria, 9=Belgium, 10=Denmark, 11=Finland, 12=Greece, 13=Ireland, 14=Netherlands, 15=Norway, 16=Portugal, 17=Spain, 18=Sweden, 19=Switzerland, 20=Australia, 21=New Zealand)
• Data Files, Complete Results, Tables and Figures in Lotus 1-2-3 Format
• Data Files Only in Excel Format
• Participation, Inequality, and Transfers Data Base (Chapter 2) (ASCII Text Format: *.TXT; other formats available under related-title entry below)
• The Political Economy of Public Debt Data Base (Chapter 3) (ASCII Text Format: *.TXT; other formats available under related-title entry below)
• CBI, CWB, and Sectoral-Structure Data Base (Chapter 4) (ASCII Text Format: *.TXT; other formats available under related-title entries below)
• Journal Articles:
• “Interdependence in Comparative Politics: Substance, Theory, Empirics, Substance” (w/ Jude C. Hays), Comparative Political Studies, 40^th Anniversary Issue: “Frontiers of Comparative Politics,” 41(4/5):742-80, 2008.
• Web Appendix (Contains: Expanded references; elaboration of intellectual-historical origins Galton’s Problem; distinguishing spatial-statistical and spatial-econometric approaches; Persson & Tabellini’s formal-theoretical political-economy model of tax competition; formal statements & further discussion of omitted-variable and endogeneity biases of non-spatial and spatial-lag least-squares estimators; and formal introduction of the spatial maximum-likelihood estimator.)
• Data, Code, & Template Implementation Files (Contains: Stata code for spatial-autoregressive-model estimation by maximum likelihood; Stata code for calculating spatial dynamics, effects, and standard errors; Lotus 1-2-3 *.wk1 files of data and contiguity matrix; MatLab code for reanalysis of this paper’s estimations.)
• “Spatial-Econometric Models of Cross-Sectional Interdependence in Political-Science Panel and Time-Series-Cross-Section Data” (w/ Jude C. Hays), Political Analysis 15(2):140-64, 2007.
• “Strategic Interaction among EU Governments in Active-Labor-Market Policymaking: Subsidiarity and Policy Coordination under the European Employment Strategy” (w/ Jude C. Hays), European Union Politics 7(2):167-89, 2006.
• Awards: Sage Award for best paper in Volume 7 of European Union Politics.
• Data & Code: All data employed in generating, and the code to replicate, the results in the paper.
• “Adaptive Management of the Global Climate Problem: Bridging the Gap Between Climate Research and Climate Policy,” (w/ J Arvai, G Bridge, N Dolsak, T Koontz, A Luginbuhl, P Robbins, K Richards, K Smith Korfmacher, B Sohngen, J Tansey, A Thompson), Climatic Change 78(1):217-25, 2006.
• “Empirical Strategies for Various Manifestations of Multilevel Data,” Political Analysis 13(4):430-46, 2005. Appendix.
• Awards: Warren E. Miller Award for best paper in Volume 13 of Political Analysis.
• “Multiple Hands on the Wheel: Empirically Modeling Partial Delegation and Shared Control of Monetary Policy in the Open and Institutionalized Economy,” Political Analysis 11(4):445-74, 2003.
• Data: All data employed in the paper.
• “Electoral and Partisan Cycles in Economic Policies and Outcomes,” Annual Reviews of Political Science, Vol. 5: 369-421, 2002.
• “Comparative Institutional Advantage: The Scope for Divergence within European Economic Integration” (w/ James Mosher), European Union Politics 3(2):177-204, 2002.
• “Strategic Interactions of Monetary Policymakers and Wage/Price Bargainers: A Review with Implications for the European Common-Currency Area,” Empirica: Journal of Applied Economics and Economic Policy, 2001, 28(4): 457-86.
• “Wage Bargaining under EMU,” (w/ Peter Mooslechner, Martin Schuerz), intro. to Empirica: Journal of Applied Economics and Economic Policy, 2001, 28(4):321-3.
• “Partially Independent Central Banks, Politically Responsive Governments, and Inflation,” American Journal of Political Science 43(3): 681-706, 1999.
• Original submission: “Two Hands on the Wheel: Independent Central Banks, Politically Responsive Governments, & Inflation”
• Awards: Pi Sigma Alpha Award for best paper, MPSA 1998; Nominated for the Robert H. Durr Award for best paper applying quantitative methods to a substantive problem, MPSA 1998.
• Dataset: All data necessary to replicate the results in the article.
• Data Appendix/Codebook: Data appendix to article, which also serves as codebook to data.
• Archive: Zip archive of both paper versions, the data, and the codebook.
• “Mixed Signals: Central Bank Independence, Coordinated Wage-Bargaining, and European Monetary Union” (with Peter A. Hall), International Organization 52(3):505-36, 1998.
• Awards: Gregory Leubbert Award for best published article in comparative politics 1997/98, awarded by Comparative Politics Organized Section of APSA.
• Abstract: Abstract of article.
• Data: All data employed in the paper.
• Archive: Archive file of papers & data.
• Replication Archive: Gauss Data and Procedures to Replicate Results (you will need the PCSE command file below also).
• Chapters:
• “Empirical Models of Spatial Interdependence” (w/ Jude C. Hays), in Oxford Handbook of Political Methodology, J. Box-Steffensmeier, H. Brady, & D. Collier, eds., Forthcoming.
• Data & Code:
• “Empirical Modeling of Spatial Interdependence in Time-Series Cross-Sections” (w/ Jude C. Hays), in Neuere Entwicklungen und Anwendungen auf dem Gebiet der Methoden der vergleichenden Politikwissenschaft, Band II. (New Developments and Applications of Methods of Comparative Political Science), S. Pickel, G. Pickel, H-J. Lauth, D. Jahn, eds., Wiesbaden: Westdeutscher Verlag, forthcoming.
• Data & Code:
• “Inequality & Unemployment, Redistribution & Insurance, and Participation: A Theoretical Model & an Empirical System of Endogenous Equations” (w/ Jude C. Hays), in Democracy, Inequality, & Representation, P. Beramendi & C. Anderson, eds., Routledge, Forthcoming.
• Data: Large dataset of postwar developed-democratic political & economic variables described in the paper.
• “Multi-Causality, Context Conditionality, and Endogeneity” in Oxford Handbook of Comparative Politics, C. Boix, S. Stokes, eds., Oxford University Press, 2007, pp. 27-72.
• Previously circulated under title: “Context Matters: The Challenge of Multi-Causality, Context-Conditionality, and Endogeneity for Empirical Research in Comparative Politics”
• “Fiscal Policy with Multiple Policymakers: Veto Actors and Deadlock, Collective Action and Common Pools, Bargaining and Compromise” in Veto Players and Policy Change, Hideko Magara, ed., Waseda University Press, 2007, pp. 118-61 (published in Japanese, translation: Hiroshi Tsukada; web link is to English version).
• Japanese Citation: ロバート・J. フランツェーゼ，Jr.著「複数の政策決定者を伴う財政政策－拒否権アクターとデッドロック，集合行為と共有資源，交渉と妥協－」，眞柄秀子・井戸正伸編『拒否権プレイヤーと政策転換』早稲田大学出版部，2007年，118-61頁。
• Data & Results: All data employed & results reported in the paper.
• “Empirical Models of International Capital-Tax Competition” (w/ Jude C. Hays), in International Taxation Handbook, G. Gregoriou & C. Read., eds., Elsevier, 2007, pp. 43-72.
• Data & Code:
• “Political-Economic Cycles” (w/ Karen Long Jusko), in Oxford Handbook of Political Economy, D. Wittman & B. Weingast, eds., 2006, 545-64.
• “Strategic Interactions of the ECB, Wage/Price Bargainers, and Governments: A Review of Theory, Evidence, and Recent Experience,” in Institutional Conflicts and Complementarities: Monetary Policy and Wage Bargaining Institutions in EMU, P. Mooslechner, M. Schuerz, R. Franzese, eds., Kluwer, 2004:5-42.
• “Participation, Veto Actors, and Policy Responsiveness in the Evolution and Reform of Health Care in Developed Democracies,” in Fukusi Saiken No Seijigaku (Reconstructing the Welfare State), Hideko Magara, ed., 2003, Forthcoming.
• Data & Results: All data employed & results reported in the paper.
• “Adaptive Management and Capacity Approaches to Global Climate Change: Local, National, Regional, and Global Political Considerations,” in ARGCC: Adaptive Research and Governance in Climate Change: Proceedings for the Workshop on the Human Dimensions of Policy Change, May 2003, pp. 79-91.
• “Institutional and Sectoral Interactions in Monetary Policy and Wage-Price Bargaining,” in Varieties of Capitalism: The Institutional Foundations of Comparative Advantage, P. Hall and D. Soskice, eds., Cambridge UP, 2001, pp. 104-44. (Chinese translation available from SDX Pubs)
• Abstract
• Awards: Nominated for The Westview Press Award for best paper by a graduate student, MPSA 1994.
• Data & Full Statistical Results: (Country Codes: 1=US, 2=Japan, 3=(West) Germany, 4=France, 5=Italy, 6=U.K., 7=Canada, 8=Austria, 9=Belgium, 10=Denmark, 11=Finland, 12=Greece, 13=Ireland, 14=Neth., 15=Norway, 16=Portugal, 17=Spain, 18=Sweden, 19=Switzerland, 20=Australia, 21=N.Z.)
• CBI, CWB, and Sectoral Structure Data Base in Lotus 1-2-3 (97) Workbook Format.
• CBI, CWB, and Sectoral Structure Data Base in Lotus 1-2-3 (*.WK1) Worksheet Format.
• CBI, CWB, and Sectoral Structure Data Base in Microsoft Excel (*.XLS) Worksheet Format.
• CBI, CWB, and Sectoral Structure Data Base ASCII Text Format (*.TXT).
• “Electoral and Partisan Manipulation of Public Debt in Developed Democracies, 1956-1990,” in Institutions, Politics and Fiscal Policy, R. Strauch, J. Von Hagen, eds., Kluwer Academic Press, 2000, pp. 61-83.
• Data: (Country Codes in OECD order: 1=US, 2=Japan, 3=(West) Germany, 4=France, 5=Italy, 6=U.K., 7=Canada, 8=Austria, 9=Belgium, 10=Denmark, 11=Finland, 12=Greece, 13=Ireland, 14=Netherlands, 15=Norway, 16=Portugal, 17=Spain, 18=Sweden, 19=Switzerland, 20=Australia, 21=New Zealand)
• The Political Economy of Public Debt Data Base in Lotus 1-2-3 (97) Workbook Format
• The Political Economy of Public Debt Data Base in Lotus 1-2-3 *.wk1 Worksheet Format
• The Political Economy of Public Debt Data Base in Microsoft Excel *.XLS Worksheet Format
• The Political Economy of Public Debt Data Base in ASCII Text Format (*.TXT)
• “Institutional Dimensions of Coordinating Wage-Bargaining and Monetary Policy,” (w/ Peter A. Hall) in Unions, Employers, and Central Banks: Macroeconomic Coordination and Institutional Change in Social Market Economies, T. Iversen, J. Pontusson, D. Soskice, eds., Cambridge University Press, 2000, pp. 173-204.
• Data: (Country Codes in OECD order: 1=US, 2=Japan, 3=(West) Germany, 4=France, 5=Italy, 6=U.K., 7=Canada, 8=Austria, 9=Belgium, 10=Denmark, 11=Finland, 12=Greece, 13=Ireland, 14=Netherlands, 15=Norway, 16=Portugal, 17=Spain, 18=Sweden, 19=Switzerland, 20=Australia, 21=New Zealand)
• “Credibly Conservative Monetary Policy and Labor-Goods Market Organization: A Review with Implications for ECB-Led Monetary Policy in Europe,” in The History of the Bundesbank: Lessons for the European Central Bank, J. de Haan, ed. Routledge, 2000, pp. 97-124.
• Newsletter Contributions, Reviews, and Other Publications:
• Newsletter Contribution: AQuantitative Empirical Methods and Context Conditionality [Extended (original submission)],@ CP: Newsletter of the Comparative Politics Organized Section of the American Political Science Association, 2003, 14(1): 20-24.
• Newsletter Contribution: “A GAUSS Procedure to Estimate Panel-Corrected Standard-Errors with Non-rectangular and/or Missing Data,” The Political Methodologist, 1996.
• Procedure: PCSE Command File (*.CMD).
• Announcement: PCSE Documentation (*.PDF).
• Instructions: PCSE Instructions (*.TXT).
• Book Review: “Duane Swank, Global Capital, Political Institutions, and Policy Change,” Political Science Quarterly 188(1):172-3, 2003.
• Book Review: “Carles Boix, Political Parties, Growth and Equality: Conservative and Social Democratic Economic Strategies in the World Economy,” Comparative Political Studies 33(5): 686-90, 2000.
• Book Review: “Alberto Alesina and Nouriel Roubini with Gerald Cohen, Political Cycles and the Macroeconomy.” Journal of Policy Analysis and Management 19(3): 501-9, 2000.
• Working Papers, Conference Papers, and Work in Progress:
• Working Papers:
• “The Effective Constituency in (Re)Distributive Politics: Alternative Bases of Democratic Representation, Geographic versus Partisan” parts joint with Irfan Nooruddin (*.PDF). Juan March Institute Working Paper Series, 2004. As presented to 2004 MPSA (April).
• Awards: Finalist for Robert H. Durr Prize for Best Empirical Application of Quantitative Methodology at MPSA 2002.
• “Modeling International Diffusion: Inferential Benefits and Methodological Challenges, with an Application to International Tax Competition,” (w/ Jude C. Hays) Wissenschaftszentrum-Berlin SP II 2004 – 12, Jun 2004.
• “Mixed Signals: Central Bank Independence, Coordinated Wage-Bargaining, and European Monetary Union,” (w/ Peter A. Hall) U. Cal. Berkeley, Ctr. German and European Studies, Working Paper 1.55, September 1997.
• “Bargains, Games, and Relative Gains: Positional Concerns and International Cooperation,” (w/ Michael J. Hiscox), Harvard Center for International Affairs Paper #95-4, April 1995.
• “Central Bank Independence, Coordinated Wage Bargaining, and Sectoral Structure,” (w/ Peter A. Hall) Harvard Center for European Studies #56 1994 (reprinted: CES #95 1 1995).
• Diagnosing, Modeling, Interpreting, and Leveraging Spatial Relationships in Time-Series-Cross-Section Data (with Jude C. Hays) (parts not linked above)
• Preliminary Book Manuscript (i.e., Compiled Work To Date): “Spatial Econometric Models of Interdependence” (w/ Jude C. Hays). 1 June 2007.
• Proposal: “Diagnosing, Modeling, Interpreting, and Leveraging Spatial Relationships in Time -Series-Cross-Section Data” (w/ Jude C. Hays), Jan 2003.
• Conference Paper: “Modeling Spatial Relationships in International and Comparative Political Economy: An Application to Globalization and Capital Taxation in Developed Democracies” (w/ Jude C. Hays). As Presented at MPSA 2003.
• Conference Paper: “Empirical Modeling Strategies for Spatial Interdependence: Omitted-Variable vs. Simultaneity Biases” (w/ Jude C. Hays), Jul 2004. As Presented to PolMeth 2004 & RC33 6^th International Conference on Social Science Methodology 2004.
• Conference Paper: “Modeling Spatial Interdependence in Comparative and International Political Economy with an Application to Capital Taxation.” As Presented to MPSA 2005.
• Conference Paper: “Spatial Econometric Modeling, with Application to Employment Spillovers and Active-Labor-Market Policies in the European Union” (w/ Jude C. Hays). As Presented at Rijksuniversiteit Groningen, May 2005.
• Conference Paper: “Estimating Spatio-Temporal Models & Calculating Spatio-Temporal Dynamics and Effects” (w/ Jude C. Hays), Jul 2006. As Presented to PolMeth 2006.
• Conference Paper: “The Spatial Probit Model of Interdependent Binary Outcomes: Estimation, Interpretation, and Presentation” (w/ Jude C. Hays), Jul 2007. As Presented to PolMeth & ECPR 2007.
• Proposal: “Spatial-Econometric Models for Political & Social Sciences” (w/ Jude C. Hays), Aug 2007.
• Conference Paper: “Correlation in European Union Labor-Market Policies: Interdependence or Common Stimuli?” (w/ Jude C. Hays), Aug 2007. As Presented to APSA 2007.
• Conference Paper: “Spatial Interdependence in Comparative & International Political Economy” (w/ Jude C. Hays), Feb 2008. Paper based on presentation of our spatial-interdependence/econometrics project at Paris 13 (Université Paris), Axe 5: PSE in May 2007.
• Data & Code: All data employed in generating, and the code to replicate, the results in the paper.
• Effective Representation in Democratic Policymaking (parts not linked above)
• Proposal: “Empirical Implications of Theoretical Models of Effective Democratic Representation: Electoral- and Party-Systemic Institutions, Structures, and Strategic Contexts”
• Conference Paper: “Party Unity and the Effective Constituency in Distributive Politics” (w/ Irfan Nooruddin and Karen Long Jusko), 2008.
• Conference Paper: “Political Participation, Income Distribution, and Public Transfers in Developed Democracies,” 2002.
• Data: (Country Codes in OECD order: 1=US, 2=Japan, 3=(West) Germany, 4=France, 5=Italy, 6=U.K., 7=Canada, 8=Austria, 9=Belgium, 10=Denmark, 11=Finland, 12=Greece, 13=Ireland, 14=Netherlands, 15=Norway, 16=Portugal, 17=Spain, 18=Sweden, 19=Switzerland, 20=Australia, 21=New Zealand)
• Participation, Inequality, and Transfers Data Base in Lotus 1-2-3 (97) Workbook Format
• Participation, Inequality, and Transfers Data Base in Lotus 1-2-3 (*.WK1) Worksheet Format.
• Participation, Inequality, and Transfers Data Base in Microsoft Excel (*.XLS) Worksheet Format
• Participation, Inequality, and Transfers Data Base ASCII Text Format (*.TXT)
• Conference Paper: “The Political Economy of Public Debt: An Empirical Examination of the OECD Postwar Experience through the 1990s,” 2002.
• Data: (Country Codes in OECD order: 1=US, 2=Japan, 3=(West) Germany, 4=France, 5=Italy, 6=U.K., 7=Canada, 8=Austria, 9=Belgium, 10=Denmark, 11=Finland, 12=Greece, 13=Ireland, 14=Netherlands, 15=Norway, 16=Portugal, 17=Spain, 18=Sweden, 19=Switzerland, 20=Australia, 21=New Zealand)
• The Political Economy of Public Debt Data Base in Lotus 1-2-3 (97) Workbook Format
• The Political Economy of Public Debt Data Base in Lotus 1-2-3 *.wk1 Worksheet Format
• The Political Economy of Public Debt Data Base in Microsoft Excel *.XLS Worksheet Format
• The Political Economy of Public Debt Data Base in ASCII Text Format (*.TXT)
• Conference Paper: “Trade Globalization, Politics, and the Choice of Policies and Institutions: Three Varieties of Institutional Divergence” (w/ James Mosher), 2001.
• Conference Paper: “Modeling Interactive Hypotheses and Interpreting Statistical Evidence Regarding Them” (w/ Cindy D. Kam & Amaney Jamal), American Political Science Association, Annual Meetings 1999, 2001.
• Conference Paper: “Democracy, Economy, and Values: Estimating a Recursive System” (w/ Sean D. Ehrlich & Ronald F. Inglehart), APSA 1999.
• Awards: Nominated for Best Paper in Religion and Politics Presented at the 1999 APSA Meetings.
• Data: All data employed in the paper (Lotus 1-2-3 *.wk3, E-Views *.wf1).