Peer Review of Memo #1



Ann Zimmerman
SPP 744: Information Networks Policy
February 5, 1996

Networks and Individual and Social Change: What's Developing Who?


How fast can we go?

Discussing his book Future Shock in a 1993 interview in Wired magazine, futurist Alvin Toffler said that "the ability to adapt isn't dependent entirely on whether you're going in a happy or unhappy direction. It's the speed itself that compels a change in the rate of decision making, and all decision making , and the resulting effects on individuals and society, are the most intriguing, as well as the most disturbing aspects of such networks.

It's not all bad, but it's not all good

Many people tout the power that networks bring us to communicate quickly, to equalize large and small, advantaged and disadvantaged populations, and to serve as an educational tool, allowing children across the world to interact with each other. Nicholas Negroponte, in a recent Wired magazine column, rejected the hypothesis that technology will "insulate us, create a world of people who won't smell flowers, watch sunsets, or engage in face-to-face enterprise." Instead, his life has been personally enriched through his online experiences with others. For those who are comfortable with technology and have access to the hardware and software that makes such networks usable, the benefits might seem obvious. But what effects, both positive and negative are current networks really having on individuals and society? If our future resides in broadband, switched, digital networks these impacts might be multiplied thousands of times over, and new effects born as the "average person" confronts the electronic age. If we are smart enough to develop increasingly powerful and available networks, are we intelligent enough to recognize the resulting effects on human behavior and to use networks responsibly and wisely as simply another tool in our repertoire of work, education and human interaction?

Looking for answers

Some people are beginning to raise questions, conduct research, and seek insights into the above questions. Existing studies focus on individuals and groups already using networks. For example, The Center for the Study of the Online Community "seeks to present and foster studies that focus on how computers and networks alter people's capacity to form groups, organizations, institutions, and how those social formations are able to serve the collective interest of their members." Managing the virtual commons: cooperation and conflict in computer communities, a paper by Peter Kollock and Marc Smith, investigates the assumptions about the powerful effects of electronic communication on social relationships. Are social hierarchies dissolved and replaced by flatter more egalitarian societies? Do network communications enhance democracy? To help answer these questions, the authors studied Usenet groups and found that for all the cooperation present in such groups, there are also many shortcomings, and for the most part, Usenet groups remain relatively uncooperative places. They also concluded that cyberspace is a double-edged sword. The monitoring of people's behavior becomes easier, but the sanctioning of it becomes more difficult. Kollock and Smith summed up with a sentence that needs to be echoed more often:..."there is no simple conclusion to this story, and one-note predictions of either a utopian or dystopian future must be considered suspect. A Masters thesis by Tim North also looked at the culture of Usenet groups, especially their impacts on new users. He found that Internet culture can have an empowering or supporting effect on new users. New users are welcomed and the conventions of the culture are freely shared with new participants. There is also a strong sense of community and one is judged primarily by what one says, rather than on social factors such as appearance, age, gender, and wealth. On the negative side, North found that users need to be fluent in English and have a high degree of computer literacy. One might wonder what happens to individuals lacking fluency in computers and language. The world wide web (www) mistakenly leads us to believe that the answers to our questions, especially technical ones, are all there in front of us. We have only to click on the instructions for creating a home page and we will acquire the skill in no time. Have all notions of education and teaching gone out the window in the networked environment? Should we feel stupid and inferior if we do not "get it" when the instructions are presented to us? Particpants in a workshop entitled, Society, Cyberspace, and the Future, identified information overload as another factor impacting individual network users. The workshop attendees questioned whether software agents will really empower ordinary individuals "to navigate the vast ocean of information, trivia, and misinformation." It is common among current www users to feel "lost." What will be the personal and societal impacts of more and more people feeling lost in cyberspace?

Put people first

As networks become more ubiquitous, people lacking the skill and knowledge to
effectivey utilize and manage the technology, are at risk of being overwhelmed by all that confronts them. Ease of use, education, a realistic view of the place of technology in society, and face-to-face interaction will be critical to incorporating networks into the fabric of everyday life. Efforts in this direction must take an equal place along side the development of future network technology.



Specific Comments

should "who" be "whom"?
This has intriguing implications that you don't develop: acceleration changes the sytem, but this change is bounded by some inherent limits of the system to make decisions fast enough to keep pace with the acceleration. Will this eventually decrease acceleration, or will decision-making as we know it be changed to accomodate continued acceleration?
unnecessary comma -- this is an important clause
unnecessary comma -- no pause needed in sentence
I may be off on this one, but I think people "tout the power that networks bring" as something (like the answer to all of our problems), rather than just "tout the power" without further explanation.
You may want to revise this idea. It is unclear to me what you mean by "responsibly and wisely". You seem to suggest that airplane technology, as an analogy, was used irresponsibly and unwisely since, rather than used "simply as another mode of transportation", it dramatically changed many facets of society world-wide. Such an argument oversimplifies the broad implications of network technology and its likely impacts.
This is a bit surprising to me. It's hard to believe that what a person has to say is independent of their age, gender or wealth.
You imply that periodically altering social notions is inherently bad or dangerous. At one time notions of communication, for example, were based on slow-moving written messages. This notion was thrown out at least in part with the introduction of the telegraph, telephone, fax, e-mail, etc... Is periodically updating social or world notions in this way inherently bad? I think it's safe to say that notions of education and teaching are constantly changing as society continues to changes.
This may only be a transitional phenomenon or concern. Individuals accustomed to or trained on previous technology will have problems making the switch. However, the youngest generations are being introduced at early ages to current technology and as a result will be less intimidated by future developments. It seems a safe prediction that computers will, in a couple of generations, be as intimidating as telephones or VCRs are today.
effectively



General Comments

Overall this is a provocative memo. As the technology race intensifies and accelerates, are we forgetting, in our excitement, the true cost to society of the necessity of wide-spread computer familiarity and literacy? Will technology, in effect, surpass the majority of society? Is this a serious concern? As technology develops, will mechanisms naturally develop so that the majority of potential benefactor don't get left behind? If a natural solution is unlikely, what interventive action should be taken and by whom? On specific issues (such as education and public access) does government need to step in to insure that society, by large, isn't left behind? You discuss these ideas throughout your memo, and propose a vague preventative direction in your
last paragraph. Maybe you can expand this section a bit. Do you have any further suggestions or ideas regarding parallel development of technology and society?

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Submitted February 8, 1996

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Dante diTommaso
School of Public Policy
University of Michigan
dditomm@umich.edu