Caller Number Five:
Timing Games that Morph from One Form to Another
There are two varieties of timing games in
economics: In a war of attrition, more predecessors helps; in a pre-emption
game, more predecessors hurts. In this paper, we introduce and explore a
spanning class with rank-order payoffs that subsumes both as special cases. In
this environment with unobserved actions and complete information, there are
endogenously-timed phase transition moments. We identify equilibria with a rich
enough structure to capture a wide array of economic and social timing phenomena
-- shifting between phases of smooth and explosive entry.
We introduce a tractable general theory of this class of timing games based on
potential functions. This not only yields existence by construction, but also
affords rapid characterization results. We then flesh out the simple economics
of phase transitions: Anticipation of later timing games influences current play
--- swelling pre-emptive atoms and truncating wars of attrition. We also bound
the number of phase transitions as well as the number of symmetric Nash
equilibria. Finally, we compute the payoff and duration of each equilibrium,
which we uniformly bound. We contrast all results with those of the standard war
of attrition.